ArticlePloS one2021
Dynamics of the impact of COVID-19 on the economic activity of Peru.
Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 79 citations in OpenAlex.
- Strengthening pandemic preparedness in Peru: a qualitative study of high-level leaders involved in the COVID-19 response.BMJ public health · 2026Article
- Associations Between Mothers' COVID-Related Perceived Stress and Children's Internalizing and Externalizing Symptoms in Peru.Child psychiatry and human development · 2025Article
- Toothpaste use in Peruvian children during COVID-19 pandemic: results from a National Demographic and Health Survey.European archives of paediatric dentistry : official journal of the European Academy of Paediatric Dentistry · 2023Article
- COVID-19 incidence of poverty: How has disease affected the cost of purchasing food in Pakistan.Preventive medicine reports · 2023Article
- Non-vaccination Against COVID-19 Among Venezuelan Refugees and Migrants Adults in Peru: A Cross-sectional Study, 2022.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2023Article
- Time elapsed since peruvian children's last dental care and head of household educational attainment: findings from a national database.BMC oral health · 2023Article
- Food insecurity in Piura, Peru, in the context of post-earthquake and the COVID-19 pandemic.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Exploring determinants of formation of cognitive anchors from altruistic messages: A fuzzy DEMATEL approach.PloS one · 2023Article
- Article
- Prevalence and factors associated with food insecurity in eight high-altitude cities in Peru during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: a retrospective, cross-sectional study.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Effects of vaccination against COVID-19 on the emotional health of older adults.F1000Research · 2022Article
- Article
- Psychological Factors Affecting Risk Perception of COVID-19: Evidence from Peru and China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Predictors of Intention to Vaccinate Against COVID-19 in a Peruvian Sample.Journal of primary care & community healthArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe COVID-19 virus impacts human health and the world economy, causing in Peru, more than 800 thousand infected and a strong recession expressed in a drop of -12% in its economic growth rate for 2020. In this context, the objective of the study is to analyze the dynamics of the short-term behavior of economic activity, as well as to explain the causal relationships in a Pandemic context based on the basic number of spread (Re) of COVID-19 per day.
methodsAn Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model was used.
resultsA negative and statistically significant impact of the COVID-19 shock was found on the level of economic activity and a long-term Cointegration relationship with an error correction model (CEM), with the expected sign and statistically significant at 1%.
conclusionThe Pandemic has behaved as a systemic shock of supply and aggregate demand at the macroeconomic level, which together have an impact on the recession or level of economic activity. The authors propose changing public health policy from an indiscriminate suppression strategy to a targeted, effective and intelligent mitigation strategy that minimizes the risk of human life costs and socioeconomic costs, in a context of uncertainty about the end of the Pandemic and complemented by economic, fiscal and monetary policies that mitigate the economic recession, considering the underlying structural characteristics of the Peruvian economy.
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