Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33417605›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Prediction of the COVID-19 epidemic trends based on SEIR and AI models.

Shuo Feng, Zebang Feng, Chen Ling, Chen Chang, Zhongke Feng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Toward informatics-enabled preparedness for natural hazards to minimize health impacts of climate change.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2022
    Review
  13. Review on the COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control system based on AI.Engineering applications of artificial intelligence · 2022
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Prediction and Analysis of Tourist Management Strategy Based on the SEIR Model during the COVID-19 Period.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shuo FengSchool of Software and Microelectronics, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0929-0687
Zebang FengSchool of Software and Microelectronics, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Chen LingSchool of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Chen ChangBeijing Key Laboratory of Precision Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, China.
Zhongke FengBeijing Key Laboratory of Precision Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1444-7976

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In December 2019, the outbreak of a new coronavirus-caused pneumonia (COVID-19) in Wuhan attracted close attention in China and the world. The Chinese government took strong national intervention measures on January 23 to control the spread of the epidemic. We are trying to show the impact of these controls on the spread of the epidemic. We proposed an SEIR(Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed) model to analyze the epidemic trend in Wuhan and use the AI model to analyze the epidemic trend in non-Wuhan areas. We found that if the closure was lifted, the outbreak in non-Wuhan areas of mainland China would double in size. Our SEIR and AI model was effective in predicting the COVID-19 epidemic peaks and sizes. The epidemic control measures taken by the Chinese government, especially the city closure measures, reduced the scale of the COVID-19 epidemic.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalChinaCOVID-19Disease OutbreaksEpidemicsHumans

Identifiers

PMID33417605
PMCPMC7793264

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.