Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33398132›Full record

ArticleNature biomedical engineering2021

A mathematical model for the quantification of a patient's sensitivity to checkpoint inhibitors and long-term tumour burden.

Joseph D Butner, Zhihui Wang, Dalia Elganainy, Karine A Al Feghali, Marija Plodinec, George A Calin, Prashant Dogra, Sara Nizzero, Javier Ruiz-Ramírez, Geoffrey V Martin and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature biomedical engineering, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The theory of tumor immuno-ecodynamics.Frontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Immune-checkpoint inhibitor therapy response evaluation using oncophysics-based mathematical models.Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Nanomedicine and nanobiotechnology · 2023
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Joseph D Butner *Mathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.
Zhihui Wang *Mathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA. zwang@houstonmethodist.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6262-700X
Dalia ElganainyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Karine A Al FeghaliDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Marija PlodinecBiozentrum and the Swiss Nanoscience Institute, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
George A CalinDepartment of Translational Molecular Pathology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Prashant DograMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.
Sara NizzeroMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.
Javier Ruiz-RamírezMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA.
Geoffrey V MartinDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Hussein A TawbiDepartment of Melanoma Medical Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1942-851X
Caroline ChungDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Eugene J KoayDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7675-3461
James W WelshDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
David S HongDepartment of Investigational Cancer Therapeutics, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Vittorio CristiniMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, TX, USA. vcristini@houstonmethodist.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7909-4278

Funding

Project 3: Inhibiting Oxidative Phosphorylation in Pancreatic CancerP50CA221707 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI KOPETZ, SCOTT, MAITRA, ANIRBAN · 2019 to 2023
$11.0M
Transport Oncophysics CoreU54CA210181 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI SHEN, HAIFA · 2016 to 2020
$9.3M
Imaging and Molecular Correlates of Progression in Cystic Neoplasms of the PancreasU01CA196403 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI MAITRA, ANIRBAN · 2015 to 2020
$5.8M
A Targeted Nanomedicine Prototype Against Enzalutamide-resistant Prostate CancerR01CA226537 · NCI · RBHS -CANCER INSTITUTE OF NEW JERSEY · PI ARAP, WADIH, BRINKER, C JEFFREY · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
miR-155 targeted therapeutics for precision medicine in lung cancerR01CA222007 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI CALIN, GEORGE A., CRISTINI, VITTORIO · 2018 to 2022
$2.6M
Targeted therapeutics for ovarian cancer and its microenvironment - treatment and theoretical modelingU01CA213759 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LOPEZ-BERESTEIN, GABRIEL · 2017 to 2021
$2.5M
Fellow and Resident Radiation Oncology iNtensive Training in Imaging and Informatics to Empower Research Careers (FRONTI2ER)R25EB025787 · NIBIB · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI DAS, PRAJNAN, FULLER, CLIFTON DAVID · 2018 to 2022
$535k
NCI NIH HHS P50 CA221707NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222007NCI NIH HHS R01 CA226537NCI NIH HHS U01 CA196403NCI NIH HHS U01 CA213759NCI NIH HHS U54 CA210181NIBIB NIH HHS R25 EB025787
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A large proportion of patients with cancer are unresponsive to treatment with immune checkpoint blockade and other immunotherapies. Here, we report a mathematical model of the time course of tumour responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors. The model takes into account intrinsic tumour growth rates, the rates of immune activation and of tumour-immune cell interactions, and the efficacy of immune-mediated tumour killing. For 124 patients, four cancer types and two immunotherapy agents, the model reliably described the immune responses and final tumour burden across all different cancers and drug combinations examined. In validation cohorts from four clinical trials of checkpoint inhibitors (with a total of 177 patients), the model accurately stratified the patients according to reduced or increased long-term tumour burden. We also provide model-derived quantitative measures of treatment sensitivity for specific drug-cancer combinations. The model can be used to predict responses to therapy and to quantify specific drug-cancer sensitivities in individual patients.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalArea Under CurveDatabases, FactualHumansImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsImmunotherapyLinear ModelsModels, StatisticalNeoplasmsROC CurveTreatment OutcomeTumor BurdenAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalImmune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID33398132
PMCPMC8669771

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.