Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33392538›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open2020

Emergency department crowding associated with increased 30-day mortality: a cohort study in Stockholm Region, Sweden, 2012 to 2016.

Björn Af Ugglas, Therese Djärv, Petter L S Ljungman, Martin J Holzmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Patients' experiences of receiving hospital care from a mobile care unit - a qualitative interview study.International journal of qualitative studies on health and well-being · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  9. Review
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  11. Emergency call utilization over a 10-years period: an observational study in Region Zealand, Denmark, 2013-2022.Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine · 2024
    Observational
  12. Article
  13. Emergency department crowding: a national data report.Clinical and experimental emergency medicine · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Björn Af UgglasTheme of Emergency and Reparative Medicine Karolinska University Hospital Stockholm Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2841-0661
Therese DjärvTheme of Emergency and Reparative Medicine Karolinska University Hospital Stockholm Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5905-157X
Petter L S LjungmanDepartment of Cardiology Danderyd Hospital Stockholm Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7815-2632
Martin J HolzmannTheme of Emergency and Reparative Medicine Karolinska University Hospital Stockholm Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8992-8347

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesEmergency department (ED) crowding is a major problem across the world. Studies investigating the association between crowding and mortality are many, but the quality is inconsistent and there are very few large, high-quality multicenter studies that are properly designed to deal with confounding due to case mix. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between ED crowding and 30-day mortality.

methodsWe conducted an observational cohort study at all 7 EDs in Stockholm Region, Sweden 2012-2016. The crowding exposure was defined as the mean hourly ED census during the shift that the exposed patient arrived, divided with the expected ED census for this shift. The expected ED census was estimated using a separate linear model for each hospital with year and shift as predictors. The exposure was categorized in 3 groups: reference (lowest 75% of observations), moderate (75%-95% of observations), and high (highest 5% of observations). Hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause mortality within 30 days were estimated with a Cox proportional hazards model. The model was adjusted for age, sex, triage priority, arrival hour, weekend, arrival mode, chief complaint, number of prior hospital admissions, and comorbidities.

results884,228 patients who visited the ED 2,252,656 times were included in the analysis. The estimated HR (95% confidence interval) for death within 30-days was 1.00 (0.97-1.03) in crowding category 75%-95% and 1.08 (1.03-1.14) in the 95%-100% category.

conclusionsIn a large cohort study including 7 EDs in Stockholm Region, Sweden we identified a significant association between high levels of ED crowding and increased 30-day mortality.

Indexed as

crowdingemergency departmentemergency servicehealth policyhospitalmortalitypatient safety

Identifiers

PMID33392538
PMCPMC7771779

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.