Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33380453›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Optimal utility and probability functions for agents with finite computational precision.

Keno Juechems, Jan Balaguer, Bernhard Spitzer, Christopher Summerfield

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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  14. Rational inattention in mice.Science advances · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Keno JuechemsDepartment of Experimental Psychology, Radcliffe Observatory, OX2 6GG Oxford, United Kingdom; keno.juchems@psy.ox.ac.uk juan.delojobalaguer@psy.ox.ac.uk spitzer@mpib-berlin.mpg.de christopher.summerfield@psy.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-7887-175X
Jan BalaguerDepartment of Experimental Psychology, Radcliffe Observatory, OX2 6GG Oxford, United Kingdom; keno.juchems@psy.ox.ac.uk juan.delojobalaguer@psy.ox.ac.uk spitzer@mpib-berlin.mpg.de christopher.summerfield@psy.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-7312-0140
Bernhard SpitzerCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, 14195 Berlin, Germany keno.juchems@psy.ox.ac.uk juan.delojobalaguer@psy.ox.ac.uk spitzer@mpib-berlin.mpg.de christopher.summerfield@psy.ox.ac.uk.
Christopher SummerfieldDepartment of Experimental Psychology, Radcliffe Observatory, OX2 6GG Oxford, United Kingdom; keno.juchems@psy.ox.ac.uk juan.delojobalaguer@psy.ox.ac.uk spitzer@mpib-berlin.mpg.de christopher.summerfield@psy.ox.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When making economic choices, such as those between goods or gambles, humans act as if their internal representation of the value and probability of a prospect is distorted away from its true value. These distortions give rise to decisions which apparently fail to maximize reward, and preferences that reverse without reason. Why would humans have evolved to encode value and probability in a distorted fashion, in the face of selective pressure for reward-maximizing choices? Here, we show that under the simple assumption that humans make decisions with finite computational precision--in other words, that decisions are irreducibly corrupted by noise--the distortions of value and probability displayed by humans are approximately optimal in that they maximize reward and minimize uncertainty. In two empirical studies, we manipulate factors that change the reward-maximizing form of distortion, and find that in each case, humans adapt optimally to the manipulation. This work suggests an answer to the longstanding question of why humans make "irrational" economic choices.

Indexed as

computational precisionprospect theoryuncertaintyutility

Identifiers

PMID33380453
PMCPMC7812798

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.