Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33379298›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

The Prediction of Hepatitis E through Ensemble Learning.

Tu Peng, Xiaoya Chen, Ming Wan, Lizhu Jin, Xiaofeng Wang, Xuejie Du, Hui Ge, Xu Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Hepatitis E virus infections.World journal of virology · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Prediction of successful aging using ensemble machine learning algorithms.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Tu PengSchool of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.
Xiaoya ChenSchool of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.
Ming WanChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Lizhu JinChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Xiaofeng WangChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Xuejie DuChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Hui GeChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Xu YangSchool of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7983-6473

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

According to the World Health Organization, about 20 million people are infected with Hepatitis E every year. In 2015, there were 44,000 deaths due to HEV infection worldwide. Food, water and climate are key factors that affect the outbreak of Hepatitis E. This paper presents an ensemble learning model for Hepatitis E prediction by studying the correlation between historical epidemic cases of hepatitis E and environmental factors (water quality and meteorological data). Environmental factors include many features, and ones that are most relevant to HEV are selected and input into the ensemble learning model composed by Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) and Random Forest for training and prediction. Three indicators, root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the ensemble learning model against the classical time series prediction model. It is concluded that the ensemble learning model has a better prediction effect than the classical model, and the prediction effectiveness can be improved by exploiting water quality and meteorological factors (radiation, air pressure, precipitation).

Indexed as

ClimateHepatitis EMachine LearningWater QualityDisease OutbreaksHumansModels, Theoreticalensemble learninghepatitis Eprediction

Identifiers

PMID33379298
PMCPMC7795791

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.