Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33377190›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2021

Changes in a Frailty Index and Association with Mortality.

Sandra M Shi, Brianne Olivieri-Mui, Ellen P McCarthy, Dae H Kim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 79 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
79citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

79 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Global Prevalence of Cognitive Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Asia-Pacific psychiatry : official journal of the Pacific Rim College of Psychiatrists · 2026
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  14. Associations of summary measures of longitudinal frailty assessments with health outcomes.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
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19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sandra M ShiHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging, Hebrew Senior Life, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6801-5602
Brianne Olivieri-MuiHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging, Hebrew Senior Life, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6739-2019
Ellen P McCarthyHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging, Hebrew Senior Life, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Dae H KimHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging, Hebrew Senior Life, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

Translational Researchin Aging Trainnig ProgramT32AG023480 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI LIPSITZ, LEWIS · 2004 to 2024
$7.6M
Prospective Monitoring of Newly Approved Cardiovascular Drugs in Older Adults with FrailtyR01AG062713 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI KIM, DAE HYUN · 2019 to 2022
$2.8M
Epidemiology and Risk of Antipsychotic Use in Hospitalized Elderly with DeliriumR01AG056368 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI KIM, DAE HYUN · 2018 to 2020
$1.8M
Restricted Mean Survival Time to Interpret Clinical Trials for Treatment Decision-Making in Older AdultsR21AG060227 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI KIM, DAE HYUN · 2019 to 2020
$449k
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062713NIA NIH HHS T32 AG023480NIH HHS T32 AG023480
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough frailty status is dynamic, whether improvements in frailty predict mortality is unknown.

objectiveDescribe 1-year changes in a frailty index (FI) and association with 48-month mortality.

designSecondary analysis of the National Health in Aging Trends Study.

settingCommunity.

participantsFive thousand six hundred and seventy two Medicare beneficiaries 65 and older (3,267 (55.8%) females). MEASUREMENTS: A 40-item deficit accumulation FI was measured in 2011 and 2012, based on multidomain assessment including comorbidities, activities of daily living, physical tasks, cognition, and performance testing. We categorized 2011 FI into robust (FI < 0.15), pre-frail (FI = 0.15-0.24), mild frailty (FI = 0.25-0.34), and moderate to severe frailty (FI ≥ 0.35). Change in frailty was calculated as the FI change from 2011 to 2012, categorized as either absolute (>0.045 decrease, 0.015-0.045 decrease, ±0.015 change, 0.015-0.045 increase, >0.045 increase) or proportional change (>20% decrease, 5-20% decrease, ±5% change, 5-20% increase, 20% increase). We measured the association of FI change with 4-year mortality using Cox regression.

resultsFrom 2011 to 2012, mean FI increased by 0.02 (standard deviation 0.07), with 58.6% having an increase. Over 4 years, 1,039 participants (13.6%) died. After adjusting for age and sex, compared to stable frailty (±0.015), both absolute (>0.045) and proportional (>20%) increases in frailty were associated with higher mortality among pre-frail participants (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) = (1.45-3.79) and HR (95% CI) = 3.32 (1.76-6.26), respectively), participants with mild frailty (HR (95% CI) = 1.96 (1.35-2.85) and 2.03 (1.37-3.02)) and moderate or severe frailty (HR (95% CI) = 1.99 (1.48-2.67) and 1.94 (1.43-2.63)) but not robust participants (HR (95% CI)= 1.48 (0.86-2.54), HR (95% CI) = 1.62 (0.80-3.28)). However, decreases in FI were not significantly associated with decreased risk of mortality.

conclusionsIncreasing deficit accumulation FI over 1 year is associated with increased mortality risk. While decreasing FI occurs, we did not find evidence to support reduced mortality risk.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingFrailtyAgedCognitionComorbidityFemaleFrail ElderlyFunctional StatusGeriatric AssessmentHumansMaleMortalityPrognosisRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexTask Performance and Analysischangefrailtymortality

Identifiers

PMID33377190
PMCPMC8071066

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.