ArticleBiology2020
A New Transmission Route for the Propagation of the SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus.
Article in Biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- A systematic review on the occurrence, fate, and remediation of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater.International journal of environmental science and technology : IJEST · 2023Review
- Wastewater-based epidemiology: a new frontier for tracking environmental persistence and community transmission of COVID-19.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Review
- Compartmental structures used in modeling COVID-19: a scoping review.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2022Article
- Water Transmission Increases the Intensity of COVID-19 Outbreaks.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Dangerous liaisons? As the COVID-19 wave hits Africa with potential for novel transmission dynamics: a perspective.Zeitschrift fur Gesundheitswissenschaften = Journal of public health · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Pandemic: Public Health Risk Assessment and Risk Mitigation Strategies.Journal of personalized medicine · 2021Review
- The existence, spread, and strategies for environmental monitoring and control of SARS-CoV-2 in environmental media.The Science of the total environment · 2021Review
- Secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 through wastewater: Concerns and tactics for treatment to effectively control the pandemic.Journal of environmental management · 2021Review
- Leaving no stone unturned in light of the COVID-19 faecal-oral hypothesis? A water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) perspective targeting low-income countries.The Science of the total environment · 2021Review
- SARS-CoV-2 as Enteric Virus in Wastewater: Which Risk on the Environment and Human Behavior?Microbiology insights · 2021Review
- SARS-CoV-2 variants: Relevance for symptom granularity, epidemiology, immunity (herd, vaccines), virus origin and containment?Environmental microbiology · 2020Article
- The Novel Coronavirus - A Snapshot of Current Knowledge.Microbial biotechnology · 2020Review
- The transmission modes and sources of COVID-19: A systematic review.International journal of surgery open · 2020Review
- Modeling a Pandemic (COVID-19) Management Strategy for Urban Slums Using Social Geometry Framework.The European journal of development research · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundStarting late 2019, a novel coronavirus spread from the capital of the Hubei province in China to the rest of the country, then to most of the world. To anticipate future trends in the development of the pandemic, we explore here, based on public records of infected persons, how variation in the virus tropism could end up in different patterns, warranting a specific strategy to handle the epidemic.
methodsWe use a compartmental model to describe the evolution of an individual through several possible states: susceptible, infected, alternative infection, detected, and removed. We fit the parameters of the model to the existing data, taking into account significant quarantine changes where necessary.
resultsThe model indicates that Wuhan quarantine measures were effective, but that alternative virus forms and a second propagation route are compatible with available data. For the Hong Kong, Singapore, and Shenzhen regions, the secondary route does not seem to be active.
conclusionsHypotheses of an alternative infection tropism (the gut tropism) and a secondary propagation route are discussed using a model fitted by the available data. Corresponding prevention measures that take into account both routes should be implemented to the benefit of epidemic control.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.