Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33368027›Full record

ArticleSports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.)2021

Predicting Risk of Sport-Related Concussion in Collegiate Athletes and Military Cadets: A Machine Learning Approach Using Baseline Data from the CARE Consortium Study.

Joel Castellanos, Cheng Perng Phoo, James T Eckner, Lea Franco, Steven P Broglio, Mike McCrea, Thomas McAllister, Jenna Wiens, CARE Consortium Investigators

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Joel CastellanosDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, 325 E. Eisenhower Parkway, Ann Arbor, MI, 48108, USA.
Cheng Perng PhooComputer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
James T EcknerDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, 325 E. Eisenhower Parkway, Ann Arbor, MI, 48108, USA. jeckner@med.umich.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9630-0048
Lea FrancoDepartment of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, 325 E. Eisenhower Parkway, Ann Arbor, MI, 48108, USA.
Steven P BroglioKinesiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Mike McCreaNeurosurgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA.
Thomas McAllisterPsychiatry, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Jenna WiensComputer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
CARE Consortium Investigators
Michigan Medicine · USUniversity of Michigan · USCornell University · USIndiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis · USMedical College of Wisconsin · USUniversity of San Diego · US

Funding

U.S. Department of Defense W81XWH-BA170608
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop a predictive model for sport-related concussion in collegiate athletes and military service academy cadets using baseline data collecting during the pre-participation examination.

methodsBaseline assessments were performed in 15,682 participants from 21 US academic institutions and military service academies participating in the CARE Consortium Study during the 2015-2016 academic year. Participants were monitored for sport-related concussion during the subsequent season. 176 baseline covariates mapped to 957 binary features were used as input into a support vector machine model with the goal of learning to stratify participants according to their risk for sport-related concussion. Performance was evaluated in terms of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) on a held-out test set. Model inputs significantly associated with either increased or decreased risk were identified.

results595 participants (3.79%) sustained a concussion during the study period. The predictive model achieved an AUROC of 0.73 (95% confidence interval 0.70-0.76), with variable performance across sports. Features with significant positive and negative associations with subsequent sport-related concussion were identified. CONCLUSION(S): This predictive model using only baseline data identified athletes and cadets who would go on to sustain sport-related concussion with comparable accuracy to many existing concussion assessment tools for identifying concussion. Furthermore, this study provides insight into potential concussion risk and protective factors.

Indexed as

Athletic InjuriesBrain ConcussionMilitary PersonnelAthletesHumansMachine Learning

Identifiers

PMID33368027
OpenAlexW3116129594

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.