Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33367502›Full record

ArticleChemical senses2021

Recent Smell Loss Is the Best Predictor of COVID-19 Among Individuals With Recent Respiratory Symptoms.

Richard C Gerkin, Kathrin Ohla, Maria G Veldhuizen, Paule V Joseph, Christine E Kelly, Alyssa J Bakke, Kimberley E Steele, Michael C Farruggia, Robert Pellegrino, Marta Y Pepino and 62 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chemical senses, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 111 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
111citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
10.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

111 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 181 citations in OpenAlex.

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51 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

72 authors at 20 institutions in 33 countries.

Richard C GerkinSchool of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Kathrin OhlaInstitute of Neuroscience and Medicine (INM3), Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany.
Maria G VeldhuizenDepartment of Anatomy, Mersin University, Yenişehir/Mersin, Turkey.
Paule V JosephNational Institute of Nursing Research, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Christine E KellyAbScent, Andover, Hampshire, UK.
Alyssa J BakkeDepartment of Food Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
Kimberley E SteeleNational Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Michael C FarruggiaInterdepartmental Neuroscience Program, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Robert PellegrinoDepartment of Food Science, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA.
Marta Y PepinoDepartment of Food Science and Human Nutrition, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Cédric BouyssetInstitut de Chimie de Nice, UMR CNRS 7272, Université Côte d'Azur, Nice, France.
Graciela M SolerGrupo de Estudio de Olfato y Gusto (GEOG), Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Veronica Pereda-LothMedecine Evolutive UMR5288, University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France.
Michele DibattistaDepartment of Basic Medical Science, Neuroscience and Sense Organs, Università degli Studi di Bari A. Moro, Bari, Italy.
Keiland W CooperDepartment of Neurobiology and Behavior, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.
Ilja CroijmansDepartment of Psychology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Antonella Di PizioLeibniz-Institute for Food Systems Biology at the Technical University of Munich, Freising, Germany.
Mehmet Hakan OzdenerMonell Chemical Senses Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Alexander W FjaeldstadFlavour Clinic, Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Regional Hospital West Jutland, Holstebro, Denmark.
Cailu LinMonell Chemical Senses Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Mari A SandellDepartment of Food and Nutrition, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Preet B SinghDepartment of Oral Surgery and Oral Medicine, Faculty of Dentistry, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
V Evelyn BrindhaDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Karunya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India.
Shannon B OlssonNational Centre for Biological Sciences, Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India.
Luis R SaraivaResearch Branch, Sidra Medicine, Doha, Qatar.
Gaurav AhujaComputational Biology, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology, New Delhi, India.
Mohammed K AlwashahiENT Division, Surgery Department, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.
Surabhi BhutaniSchool of Exercise and Nutritional Sciences, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, USA.
Anna D'ErricoCellular and Molecular Neurobiology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Marco A FornazieriClinical Surgery, Universidade Estadual de Londrina, Londrina, Brazil.
Jérôme GolebiowskiInstitut de Chimie de Nice, UMR CNRS 7272, Université Côte d'Azur, Nice, France.
Liang Dar HwangThe University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, The University of Queensland, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Lina ÖztürkDepartment of Anatomy, Mersin University, Yenişehir/Mersin, Turkey.
Eugeni RouraCentre for Nutrition and Food Sciences, Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation, The University of Queensland, St. Lucia, QLD, Australia.
Sara SpinelliDepartment of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry (DAGRI), University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Katherine L WhitcroftEar Institute, University College London, London, UK.
Farhoud FarajiDepartment of Surgery, Division of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of California San Diego Health, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Florian Ph S FischmeisterDepartment of Psychology, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Thomas HeinbockelDepartment of Anatomy, College of Medicine, Howard University, Washington, DC, USA.
Julien W HsiehDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, Rhinology-Olfactology Unit, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland.
Caroline HuartENT Department, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels, Belgium.
Iordanis KonstantinidisORL Department, Papageorgiou Hospital, Aristotle University, Thessaloniki, Greece.
Anna MeniniNeuroscience Area, SISSA, International School for Advanced Studies, Trieste, Italy.
Gabriella MoriniUniversity of Gastronomic Sciences, Pollenzo, Italy.
Jonas K OlofssonDepartment of Psychology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Carl M PhilpottNorwich Medical School, The Norfolk Smell & Taste Clinic, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
Denis PierronMedecine Evolutive UMR5288, University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France.
Vonnie D C ShieldsBiological Sciences Department, Fisher College of Science and Mathematics, Towson University, Towson, MD, USA.
Vera V VoznessenskayaSevertsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution RAS, Moscow, Russia.
Javier AlbayayDepartment of General Psychology, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Aytug AltundagOtorhinolaryngology Department, Biruni University, Zeytinburnu/İstanbul, Turkey.
Moustafa BensafiLyon Neuroscience Research Center, CNRS, Bron, France.
María Adelaida BockDepartamento de Salud Pública ORL, Hospital General Barrio Obrero, Asunción, Paraguay.
Orietta CalcinoniPrivate Practice, Milan, Italy.
William FredborgDepartment of Psychology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Christophe LaudamielDepartment of Scent Engineering, DreamAir LLC, New York, NY, USA.
Juyun LimDepartment of Food Science and Technology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA.
Johan N LundströmDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Alberto MacchiENT Department, University of Insubria Varese, ASST-Sette Laghi, Varese, Italy.
Pablo MeyerHealth Care and Life Sciences, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY, USA.
Shima T MoeinSchool of Biological Sciences, Institute for Research in Fundamental Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Enrique SantamaríaClinical Neuroproteomics Unit, Navarrabiomed-IdiSNA, Pamplona, Spain.
Debarka SenguptaComputational Biology, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology, New Delhi, India.
Paloma Rohlfs DominguezDepartment of Psychology and Anthropology, University of Extremadura, Cáceres, Spain.
Hüseyin YanikDepartment of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Mersin University, Yenişehir/Mersin, Turkey.
Thomas HummelSmell & Taste Clinic, Department of Otorhinolaryngology, TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
John E HayesDepartment of Food Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
Danielle R ReedMonell Chemical Senses Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Masha Y NivThe Faculty of Agriculture, Food and Environment, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Rehovot, Israel.
Steven D MungerDepartment of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Valentina ParmaDepartment of Psychology, Temple University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
GCCR Group Author
Monell Chemical Senses Center · USCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRUniversity of Padua · ITThe University of Queensland · AUMersin Üniversitesi · TRStockholm University · SETata Institute of Fundamental Research · INColumbia University Irving Medical Center · USCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation · AUFederal University of Technology · NGFlorida State University · USFriedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg · DEHebrew University of Jerusalem · ILIndraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi · INJohns Hopkins University · USKilis 7 Aralık University · TRNational Institutes of Health · USPennsylvania State University · USRadboud University Nijmegen · NLSt Thomas' Hospital · GB

Funding

The Structure of Olfactory Neural and Perceptual SpacesU19NS112953 · NINDS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI RINBERG, DMITRY · 2019 to 2023
$18.4M
INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN THE CHEMICAL SENSEST32DC000014 · NIDCD · MONELL CHEMICAL SENSES CENTER · PI PAMELA HELEN DALTON, Joel D Mainland · 1989 to 2026
$6.2M
Sensory Science and Metabolism; Molecular and Neuronal Mechanisms ZIAAA000136 · NIAAA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON ALCOHOL ABUSE AND ALCOHOLISM · PI JOSEPH, PAULE · 2021 to 2025
$3.2M
Mechanisms of long-term taste loss in post-acute sequelae of COVID-19R01DC018042 · NIDCD · MONELL CHEMICAL SENSES CENTER · PI WANG, HONG · 2021 to 2025
$2.2M
Sensory Science and Metabolism; Molecular and Neuronal MechanismsZIANR000035 · NINR · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF NURSING RESEARCH · PI JOSEPH, PAULE · 2018 to 2020
$1.7M
CRCNS: Data Sharing: Pyrfume: A library for mammalian olfactory psychophysicsR01DC018455 · NIDCD · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI GERKIN, RICHARD C · 2019 to 2021
$435k
Mechanisms of inflammation-triggered taste loss and its recoveryR56DC016921 · NIDCD · MONELL CHEMICAL SENSES CENTER · PI WANG, HONG · 2019 to 2019
$155k
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA NR000035NIDCD NIH HHS R01 DC018042NIDCD NIH HHS R01 DC018455NIDCD NIH HHS R56 DC016921NIDCD NIH HHS T32 DC000014NINDS NIH HHS U19 NS112953
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In a preregistered, cross-sectional study, we investigated whether olfactory loss is a reliable predictor of COVID-19 using a crowdsourced questionnaire in 23 languages to assess symptoms in individuals self-reporting recent respiratory illness. We quantified changes in chemosensory abilities during the course of the respiratory illness using 0-100 visual analog scales (VAS) for participants reporting a positive (C19+; n = 4148) or negative (C19-; n = 546) COVID-19 laboratory test outcome. Logistic regression models identified univariate and multivariate predictors of COVID-19 status and post-COVID-19 olfactory recovery. Both C19+ and C19- groups exhibited smell loss, but it was significantly larger in C19+ participants (mean ± SD, C19+: -82.5 ± 27.2 points; C19-: -59.8 ± 37.7). Smell loss during illness was the best predictor of COVID-19 in both univariate and multivariate models (ROC AUC = 0.72). Additional variables provide negligible model improvement. VAS ratings of smell loss were more predictive than binary chemosensory yes/no-questions or other cardinal symptoms (e.g., fever). Olfactory recovery within 40 days of respiratory symptom onset was reported for ~50% of participants and was best predicted by time since respiratory symptom onset. We find that quantified smell loss is the best predictor of COVID-19 amongst those with symptoms of respiratory illness. To aid clinicians and contact tracers in identifying individuals with a high likelihood of having COVID-19, we propose a novel 0-10 scale to screen for recent olfactory loss, the ODoR-19. We find that numeric ratings ≤2 indicate high odds of symptomatic COVID-19 (4 < OR < 10). Once independently validated, this tool could be deployed when viral lab tests are impractical or unavailable.

Indexed as

AdultAnosmiaCOVID-19Cross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSARS-CoV-2Self ReportSmellanosmiachemosensorycoronavirushyposmiaolfactoryprediction

Identifiers

PMID33367502
PMCPMC7799216
OpenAlexW3117624429

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.