ArticleProceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2020
Oscillatory dynamics in the dilemma of social distancing.
Article in Proceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 63 citations in OpenAlex.
- Modelling assessment of epidemiological strategies based on self-screening tools.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Epidemiological impacts of nonpharmaceutical interventions are modulated by immunity exposure trade offs.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Improving policy design and epidemic response using integrated models of economic choice and disease dynamics with behavioral feedback.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Inferring the timing of individual mobility decisions from accommodation reservation data during the COVID-19 outbreak.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Adaptive human behavior and delays in information availability autonomously modulate epidemic waves.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- An epidemiological extension of the El Farol Bar problem.Frontiers in big data · 2025Article
- Social dilemma of nonpharmaceutical interventions: Determinants of dynamic compliance and behavioral shifts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Article
- Adaptive human behaviour modulates the impact of immune life history and vaccination on long-term epidemic dynamics.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Risk, sanctions and norm change: the formation and decay of social distancing norms.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Predicting Covid-19 pandemic waves with biologically and behaviorally informed universal differential equations.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Article
- Dynamics in a behavioral-epidemiological model for individual adherence to a nonpharmaceutical intervention.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Age-differentiated incentives for adaptive behavior during epidemics produce oscillatory and chaotic dynamics.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Population heterogeneity in vaccine coverage impacts epidemic thresholds and bifurcation dynamics.Heliyon · 2023Article
- Differences in COVID-19 cyclicity and predictability among U.S. counties and states reflect the effectiveness of protective measures.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Individual costs and societal benefits of interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Nonlinear eco-evolutionary games with global environmental fluctuations and local environmental feedbacks.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- A cyclic behavioral modeling aspect to understand the effects of vaccination and treatment on epidemic transmission dynamics.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Impact of voluntary testing on infectious disease epidemiology: A game theoretic approach.PloS one · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Social distancing as one of the main non-pharmaceutical interventions can help slow down the spread of diseases, like in the COVID-19 pandemic. Effective social distancing, unless enforced as drastic lockdowns and mandatory cordon sanitaire, requires consistent strict collective adherence. However, it remains unknown what the determinants for the resultant compliance of social distancing and their impact on disease mitigation are. Here, we incorporate into the epidemiological process with an evolutionary game theory model that governs the evolution of social distancing behaviour. In our model, we assume an individual acts in their best interest and their decisions are driven by adaptive social learning of the real-time risk of infection in comparison with the cost of social distancing. We find interesting oscillatory dynamics of social distancing accompanied with waves of infection. Moreover, the oscillatory dynamics are dampened with a non-trivial dependence on model parameters governing decision-makings and gradually cease when the cumulative infections exceed the herd immunity. Compared to the scenario without social distancing, we quantify the degree to which social distancing mitigates the epidemic and its dependence on individuals' responsiveness and rationality in their behaviour changes. Our work offers new insights into leveraging human behaviour in support of pandemic response.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.