Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33355945›Full record

ArticleClinical cardiology2021

Predicting 90 day acute heart failure readmission and death using machine learning-supported decision analysis.

FarnazBabaie Sarijaloo, Jaeyoung Park, Xiang Zhong, Anita Wokhlu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cardiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

FarnazBabaie SarijalooDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Jaeyoung ParkDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Xiang ZhongDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Anita WokhluDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2001-5747
University of Florida · US

Funding

Baxter Healthcare Corporation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Readmission or death soon after heart failure (HF) admission is a significant problem. Traditional analyses for predicting such events often fail to consider the gamut of characteristics that may contribute- tending to focus on 30-day outcomes even though the window of increased vulnerability may last up to 90 days. Risk assessments incorporating machine learning (ML) methods may be better suited than traditional statistical analyses alone to sort through multitude of data in the electronic health record (EHR) and identify patients at higher risk. HYPOTHESIS: ML-based decision analysis may better identify patients at increased risk for 90-day acute HF readmission or death after incident HF admission. METHODS AND

resultsAmong 3189 patients who underwent index HF hospitalization, 15.2% experienced primary or acute HF readmission and 11.5% died within 90 days. For risk assessment models, 98 variables were considered across nine data categories. ML techniques were used to help select variables for a final logistic regression (LR) model. The final model's AUC was 0.760 (95% CI 0.752 to 0.767), with sensitivity of 83%. This proved superior to an LR model alone [AUC 0.744 (95% CI 0.732 to 0.755)]. Eighteen variables were identified as risk factors including dilated inferior vena cava, elevated blood pressure, elevated BUN, reduced albumin, abnormal sodium or bicarbonate, and NT pro-BNP elevation. A risk prediction ML-based model developed from comprehensive characteristics within the EHR can efficiently identify patients at elevated risk of 90-day acute HF readmission or death for whom closer follow-up or further interventions may be considered.

Indexed as

Heart FailurePatient ReadmissionDecision Support TechniquesHospitalizationHumansMachine Learningcongestive heart failuremachine learningmortalityrepeat hospitalization

Identifiers

PMID33355945
PMCPMC7852168
OpenAlexW3113949091

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.