Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33354709›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Against All-Cause Mortality Following Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza in Older Adults, 2010-2011 to 2015-2016 Seasons in Ontario, Canada.

Hannah Chung, Sarah A Buchan, Aaron Campigotto, Michael A Campitelli, Natasha S Crowcroft, Vinita Dubey, Jonathan B Gubbay, Timothy Karnauchow, Kevin Katz, Allison J McGeer and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The Burden of All-Cause Mortality Following Influenza-Associated Hospitalizations: Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network, 2010-2019.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Hannah ChungInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9463-3591
Sarah A BuchanInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Aaron CampigottoHospital for Sick Children, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Michael A CampitelliInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Natasha S CrowcroftInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Vinita DubeyDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jonathan B GubbayPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Timothy KarnauchowChildren's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Kevin KatzNorth York General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Allison J McGeerDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
J Dayre McNallyChildren's Hospital of Eastern Ontario, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Samira MubarekaSunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Michelle MurtiPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
David C RichardsonWilliam Osler Health System, Brampton, Ontario, Canada.
Laura C RosellaInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kevin L SchwartzInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Marek SmiejaMcMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
George ZahariadisLondon Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada.
Jeffrey C KwongInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

CIHR PJT 159516Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term CareUniversity of Toronto Department of Family and Community Medicine
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOlder adults are at increased risk of mortality from influenza infections. We estimated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against mortality following laboratory-confirmed influenza.

methodsUsing a test-negative design study and linked laboratory and health administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we estimated VE against all-cause mortality following laboratory-confirmed influenza for community-dwelling adults aged >65 years during the 2010-2011 to 2015-2016 influenza seasons.

resultsAmong 54 116 older adults tested for influenza across the 6 seasons, 6837 died within 30 days of specimen collection. Thirteen percent (925 individuals) tested positive for influenza, and 50.6% were considered vaccinated for that season. Only 23.2% of influenza test-positive cases had influenza recorded as their underlying cause of death. Before and after multivariable adjustment, we estimated VE against all-cause mortality following laboratory-confirmed influenza to be 20% (95% confidence interval [CI], 8%-30%) and 20% (95% CI, 7%-30%), respectively. This estimate increased to 34% after correcting for influenza vaccination exposure misclassification. We observed significant VE against deaths following influenza confirmation during 2014-2015 (VE = 26% [95% CI, 5%-42%]). We also observed significant VE against deaths following confirmation of influenza A/H1N1 and A/H3N2, and against deaths with COPD as the underlying cause.

conclusionsThese results support the importance of influenza vaccination in older adults, who account for most influenza-associated deaths annually.

Indexed as

Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesAgedCase-Control StudiesHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza B virusLaboratoriesOntarioSeasonsVaccinationInfluenza Vaccinesinfluenza vaccinemortalityolder adultsvaccine effectiveness

Identifiers

PMID33354709
PMCPMC8423473

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.