Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33354320›Full record

ReviewHealth systems (Basingstoke, England)2018

An exhaustive review and analysis on applications of statistical forecasting in hospital emergency departments.

Muhammet Gul, Erkan Celik

Registry-linked trialAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Health systems (Basingstoke, England), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05174481 (Forecasting ED Overcrowding With Statistical Methods), which is not on this map. Cited by 23 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05174481 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Forecasting ED Overcrowding With Statistical Methods: A Prospective Validation Study

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorTampere University HospitalRan2022 to 2022Enrolled160,000ConditionsEmergenciesArmsEarly warning system for emergency department overcrowding
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Observational
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  14. Probabilistic forecasting of hourly emergency department arrivals.Health systems (Basingstoke, England) · 2024
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  16. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Muhammet GulDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Munzur University, Tunceli, Turkey.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5319-4289
Erkan CelikDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Munzur University, Tunceli, Turkey.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4465-0913

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emergency departments (EDs) provide medical treatment for a broad spectrum of illnesses and injuries to patients who arrive at all hours of the day. The quality and efficient delivery of health care in EDs are associated with a number of factors, such as patient overall length of stay (LOS) and admission, prompt ambulance diversion, quick and accurate triage, nurse and physician assessment, diagnostic and laboratory services, consultations and treatment. One of the most important ways to plan the healthcare delivery efficiently is to make forecasts of ED processes. The aim this study is thus to provide an exhaustive review for ED stakeholders interested in applying forecasting methods to their ED processes. A categorisation, analysis and interpretation of 102 papers is performed for review. This exhaustive review provides an insight for researchers and practitioners about forecasting in EDs in terms of showing current state and potential areas for future attempts.

Indexed as

emergency departmentsreviewStatistical forecasting

Identifiers

PMID33354320
PMCPMC7738299

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.