ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2021
Recency-Weighted Statistical Modeling Approach to Attribute Illnesses Caused by 4 Pathogens to Food Sources Using Outbreak Data, United States.
Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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13 citing papers in PubMed.
- CRISPR-Cas13-based amplification-free detection of three quarantine-significant sugarcane viruses.Plant cell reports · 2026Article
- A comprehensive review of foodborne disease burden associated with protein foods: a 13-year evaluation of incidence and outbreaks in high-income countries.Italian journal of food safety · 2026Article
- Pangenome dynamics and population structure of the zoonotic pathogen Salmonella enterica serotype Hadar.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Trends in foodborne outbreaks and outbreak-associated illnesses using a Bayesian trend model - United States, 1998-2018.PloS one · 2026Article
- Antimicrobial and Physicochemical Properties of Hemicellulose-Based Films Incorporating Carvacrol.Polymers · 2025Article
- Cecal Metabolome Profiles of Turkey Poults in Response toAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Performance of Conditional Random Forest and Regression Models at Predicting Human Fecal Contamination of Produce Irrigation Ponds in the Southeastern United States.ACS ES&T water · 2024Article
- An Approach to Describe Salmonella Serotypes of Concern for Outbreaks: Using Burden and Trajectory of Outbreak-related Illnesses Associated with Meat and Poultry.Journal of food protection · 2024Article
- Comparison of Phenotype Nutritional Profiles and Phosphate Metabolism Genes in Four Serovars ofMicroorganisms · 2023Article
- Assessing Salmonella prevalence and complexity through processing using different culture methods.Poultry science · 2022Article
- Temporal changes in the proportion ofEpidemiology and infection · 2022Article
- Quantitative detection and genetic characterization of thermotolerantFrontiers in microbiology · 2022Article
- Evaluation of multiplex nanopore sequencing forFrontiers in microbiology · 2022Article
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13 authors.
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Abstract
Foodborne illness source attribution is foundational to a risk-based food safety system. We describe a method for attributing US foodborne illnesses caused by nontyphoidal Salmonella enterica, Escherichia coli O157, Listeria monocytogenes, and Campylobacter to 17 food categories using statistical modeling of outbreak data. This method adjusts for epidemiologic factors associated with outbreak size, down-weights older outbreaks, and estimates credibility intervals. On the basis of 952 reported outbreaks and 32,802 illnesses during 1998-2012, we attribute 77% of foodborne Salmonella illnesses to 7 food categories (seeded vegetables, eggs, chicken, other produce, pork, beef, and fruits), 82% of E. coli O157 illnesses to beef and vegetable row crops, 81% of L. monocytogenes illnesses to fruits and dairy, and 74% of Campylobacter illnesses to dairy and chicken. However, because Campylobacter outbreaks probably overrepresent dairy as a source of nonoutbreak campylobacteriosis, we caution against using these Campylobacter attribution estimates without further adjustment.
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