Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33350173›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2021

A clinical model to predict distant metastasis in patients with superficial gastric cancer with negative lymph node metastasis and a survival analysis for patients with metastasis.

Jingyu Chen, Lunpo Wu, Zizhen Zhang, Sheng Zheng, Yifeng Lin, Ning Ding, Jiawei Sun, Liuhong Shi, Meng Xue

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06205901 (A Prospective Comparison Study Between 18F-FDG PET/CT and Whole-Body Diffusion Weighted MRI in the Detection of Distant Malignancies in Patients With Various Cancers), which is not on this map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06205901 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective Comparison Study Between 18F-FDG PET/CT and Whole-Body Diffusion Weighted MRI in the Detection of Distant Malignancies in Patients With Various Cancers

TypeobservationalSponsorSohag UniversityRan2024 to 2025Enrolled50ConditionsDistant MetastasisArmsPET-CT, MRI
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jingyu ChenDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1320-7898
Lunpo WuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6429-7304
Zizhen ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Sheng ZhengDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Yifeng LinDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Ning DingDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Jiawei SunDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Liuhong ShiDepartment of Ultrasound, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
Meng XueDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDistant metastasis (DM) is relatively rare in superficial gastric cancer (SGC), especially in patients without lymph node metastasis. This study aimed to explore the main clinical risk factors for DM in patients with superficial gastric cancer-no lymph node metastasis (SGC-NLNM) and the prognostic factors for patients with DM.

methodsRecords of patients with SGC-NLNM between 2004 and 2015 were collected from the public Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to analyze the clinical risk factors for DM. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model were used to identify prognostic factors for patients with DM. A nomogram was built based on multivariate logistic regression and evaluated by the C-index, the calibration, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

resultsWe developed and validated a nomogram to predict DM in patients with SGC-NLNM, showing that race, age, primary site, depth, size, and grade were independent risk factors. The built nomogram had a good discriminatory performance, with a C-index of 0.836 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.813-0.859). Calibration plots showed that the predicted DM probability was identical to the actual observations in both the training and validation sets. AUC was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.820-0.871) and 0.801 (95% CI: 0.751-0.850) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The results of the survival analysis revealed that surgery (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.249; 95% CI, 0.125-0.495), chemotherapy (HR = 0.473; 95% CI, 0.353-0.633), and grade (HR = 1.374; 95% CI, 1.018-1.854) were independent prognostic factors associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS), but radiotherapy was not (log-rank test, p = 0.676).

conclusionsWe constructed a sensitive and discriminative nomogram to identify high-risk patients with SGC-NLNM who may harbor dissemination at initial diagnosis. The tumor size and primary site were the largest contributors to DM prediction. Compared with radiotherapy, aggressive surgery, and chemotherapy may be better options for patients with DM.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalNomogramsCombined Modality TherapyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLymphatic MetastasisMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveSEER ProgramStomach Neoplasmsdistant metastasisnomogramSEER Programsuperficial gastric cancer

Identifiers

PMID33350173
PMCPMC7897959

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.