Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33349681›Full record

ArticleNature microbiology2021

Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of SARS-CoV-2 from mainland Europe into Scotland.

Ana da Silva Filipe, James G Shepherd, Thomas Williams, Joseph Hughes, Elihu Aranday-Cortes, Patawee Asamaphan, Shirin Ashraf, Carlos Balcazar, Kirstyn Brunker, Alasdair Campbell and 43 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature microbiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 78 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 129 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Early unrecognised SARS-CoV-2 introductions shaped the first pandemic wave, Sweden, 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

53 authors at 15 institutions in 1 country.

Ana da Silva Filipe *MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9442-2903
James G Shepherd *MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3915-048X
Thomas Williams *MRC Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3866-1344
Joseph Hughes *MRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-2563
Elihu Aranday-CortesMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2637-2307
Patawee AsamaphanMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Shirin AshrafMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6468-0258
Carlos BalcazarQueen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Kirstyn BrunkerMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9990-6299
Alasdair CampbellRoyal Hospital for Children and Young People, Edinburgh, UK.
Stephen CarmichaelMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Chris DavisMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Rebecca DewarVirology Department, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Michael D GallagherThe Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1103-3994
Rory GunsonWest of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK.
Verity HillInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Antonia HoMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Ben JacksonInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Edward JamesBorders General Hospital, Melrose, UK.
Natasha JesudasonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Natasha JohnsonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-6082
E Carol McWilliam LeitchMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0910-9593
Kathy LiMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Alasdair MacLeanWest of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK.
Daniel MairMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
David A McAllisterPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
John T McCroneInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Sarah E McDonaldMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Martin P McHughVirology Department, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0370-3700
A Keith MorrisVictoria Hospital, Kirkcaldy, UK.
Jenna NicholsMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Marc NiebelMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2515-6151
Kyriaki NomikouMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7013-1853
Richard J OrtonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Áine O'TooleInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8083-474X
Massimo PalmariniMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Benjamin J ParcellNinewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK.
Yasmin A ParrMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4658-6698
Andrew RambautInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4337-3707
Stefan RookeInstitute of Infection Immunity and Inflammation, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Sharif ShaabanPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8293-9481
Rajiv ShahMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2827-5108
Joshua B SingerMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Katherine SmollettMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Igor StarinskijWest of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8585-5929
Lily TongMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.
Vattipally B SreenuMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6673-4697
Elizabeth WastnedgeVirology Department, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3101-2851
COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium
Matthew T G HoldenPublic Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4958-2166
David L RobertsonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6338-0221
Kate TempletonVirology Department, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Emma C ThomsonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research (CVR), Glasgow, UK. emma.thomson@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1482-0889
MRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBEdinburgh Royal Infirmary · GBGlasgow Royal Infirmary · GBPublic Health Scotland · GBUniversity of St Andrews · GBBorders General Hospital · GBInstitute of Genetics and Cancer · GBLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBNinewells Hospital · GBRoslin Institute · GBRoyal Hospital for Children · GBThe Queen's Medical Research Institute · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GBVictoria Hospital · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19026Medical Research Council MC_PC_19027Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/10Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/12Medical Research Council MR/L015080/1Wellcome Trust 201492/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 204802/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 206298/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first diagnosed in Scotland on 1 March 2020. During the first month of the outbreak, 2,641 cases of COVID-19 led to 1,832 hospital admissions, 207 intensive care admissions and 126 deaths. We aimed to identify the source and number of introductions of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) into Scotland using a combined phylogenetic and epidemiological approach. Sequencing of 1,314 SARS-CoV-2 viral genomes from available patient samples enabled us to estimate that SARS-CoV-2 was introduced to Scotland on at least 283 occasions during February and March 2020. Epidemiological analysis confirmed that early introductions of SARS-CoV-2 originated from mainland Europe (the majority from Italy and Spain). We identified subsequent early outbreaks in the community, within healthcare facilities and at an international conference. Community transmission occurred after 2 March, 3 weeks before control measures were introduced. Earlier travel restrictions or quarantine measures, both locally and internationally, would have reduced the number of COVID-19 cases in Scotland. The risk of multiple reintroduction events in future waves of infection remains high in the absence of population immunity.

Indexed as

AdultAgedCOVID-19EuropeGenome, ViralHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansMaleMiddle AgedMolecular EpidemiologyPhylogenySARS-CoV-2SpainTravel

Identifiers

PMID33349681
OpenAlexW3113792824

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.