Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33348801›Full record

ArticleAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland)2020

Global Trends in Antimicrobial Use in Food Animals from 2017 to 2030.

Katie Tiseo, Laura Huber, Marius Gilbert, Timothy P Robinson, Thomas P Van Boeckel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 269 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
269citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

269 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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209 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Katie TiseoDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zürich, 8006 Zürich, Switzerland.
Laura HuberDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zürich, 8006 Zürich, Switzerland.
Marius GilbertSpatial Epidemiology Lab, Université Libre de Bruxelles, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-3708-3359
Timothy P RobinsonFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 00153 Rome, Italy.
Thomas P Van BoeckelDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zürich, 8006 Zürich, Switzerland.

Funding

Horizon MOOD 2020 874850Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung NRP72
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Demand for animal protein is rising globally and has been facilitated by the expansion of intensive farming. However, intensive animal production relies on the regular use of antimicrobials to maintain health and productivity on farms. The routine use of antimicrobials fuels the development of antimicrobial resistance, a growing threat for the health of humans and animals. Monitoring global trends in antimicrobial use is essential to track progress associated with antimicrobial stewardship efforts across regions. We collected antimicrobial sales data for chicken, cattle, and pig systems in 41 countries in 2017 and projected global antimicrobial consumption from 2017 to 2030. We used multivariate regression models and estimated global antimicrobial sales in 2017 at 93,309 tonnes (95% CI: 64,443, 149,886). Globally, sales are expected to rise by 11.5% in 2030 to 104,079 tonnes (95% CI: 69,062, 172,711). All continents are expected to increase their antimicrobial use. Our results show lower global antimicrobial sales in 2030 compared to previous estimates, owing to recent reports of decrease in antimicrobial use, in particular in China, the world's largest consumer. Countries exporting a large proportion of their production are more likely to report their antimicrobial sales data than countries with small export markets.

Indexed as

animal productsantibioticsexportslivestocksales

Identifiers

PMID33348801
PMCPMC7766021

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.