Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33344380›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in pediatrics2020

Comparison of Machine Learning Models for Prediction of Initial Intravenous Immunoglobulin Resistance in Children With Kawasaki Disease.

Yasutaka Kuniyoshi, Haruka Tokutake, Natsuki Takahashi, Azusa Kamura, Sumie Yasuda, Makoto Tashiro

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in pediatrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yasutaka KuniyoshiDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Haruka TokutakeDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Natsuki TakahashiDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Azusa KamuraDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Sumie YasudaDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Makoto TashiroDepartment of Pediatrics, Tsugaruhoken Medical COOP Kensei Hospital, Hirosaki, Japan.
Kensei Hospital · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We constructed an optimal machine learning (ML) method for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in children with Kawasaki disease (KD) using commonly available clinical and laboratory variables. We retrospectively collected 98 clinical records of hospitalized children with KD (2-109 months of age). We found that 20 (20%) children were resistant to initial IVIG therapy. We trained three ML techniques, including logistic regression, linear support vector machine, and eXtreme gradient boosting with 10 variables against IVIG resistance. Moreover, we estimated the predictive performance based on nested 5-fold cross-validation (CV). We also selected variables using the recursive feature elimination method and performed the nested 5-fold CV with selected variables in a similar manner. We compared ML models with the existing system regardless of their predictive performance. Results of the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve were in the range of 0.58-0.60 in the all-variable model and 0.60-0.75 in the select model. The specificities were more than 0.90 and higher than those in existing scoring systems, but the sensitivities were lower. Three ML models based on demographics and routine laboratory variables did not provide reliable performance. This is possibly the first study that has attempted to establish a better predictive model. Additional biomarkers are probably needed to generate an effective prediction model.

Indexed as

area under the curveextreme gradient boostinglogistic regressionnested cross-validationpredictive modelsupport vector machine

Identifiers

PMID33344380
PMCPMC7744372
OpenAlexW3109942456

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.