Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33342072›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2022

Predictors of Osteonecrosis in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Romy Kallas, Jessica Li, Michelle Petri

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis care & research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Reply.Arthritis care & research · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Bone Involvement in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.International journal of molecular sciences · 2022
    Review
  19. Observational
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Romy KallasJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-6571-5662
Jessica LiJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Michelle PetriJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-1441-5373
Johns Hopkins University · US

Funding

Hopkins Lupus CohortR01AR069572 · NIAMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI PETRI, MICHELLE A · 2016 to 2020
$3.4M
NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR069572
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed at determining the predictors of osteonecrosis (ON) in a longitudinal lupus cohort.

methodsData were reviewed from the initiation of the cohort in 1987 until October 2019. In total, 2,428 patients were included in the analysis based on 224,295 person-months of follow-up. We used pooled logistic regression to assess the relationship between risk factors and rates of ON events. After identifying a set of variables related to ON incidence, we fit a final multivariable model to identify the most important risk factors for incident ON.

resultsIn 18,691 person-years of follow-up after cohort entry, 122 incident ON events were observed (rate = 6.5/1,000 person-years). In the multivariable analysis, African American patients were at twice the risk for ON compared to White patients. Male patients and smokers had an increased risk for ON of ~80% and 50% compared to female patients and nonsmokers, respectively. For every 10-year increase in the age at diagnosis, there was a 20% reduced risk for ON. Patients diagnosed after the 1990s had a 50% reduced risk of ON compared to those diagnosed before the 1990s. A highest daily dosage of prednisone of 40 mg or higher, even when administered for a month or less, significantly increased the risk of ON. Use of pulse methylprednisolone or intramuscular triamcinolone was not associated with an increased risk of ON.

conclusionAfrican American patients with systemic lupus erythematosus are at double the risk of experiencing ON compared to White patients. Oral prednisone at 20-39 mg for more than 1 month, or 40 mg daily for even 1 month, at any point in the disease course, remained the most important glucocorticoid predictor of ON.

Indexed as

Lupus Erythematosus, SystemicOsteonecrosisCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMalePrednisoneProspective StudiesRisk FactorsPrednisone

Identifiers

PMID33342072
PMCPMC10725725
OpenAlexW3115241936

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.