Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33338415›Full record

Trial reportThe lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology2021

Testosterone treatment to prevent or revert type 2 diabetes in men enrolled in a lifestyle programme (T4DM): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2-year, phase 3b trial.

Gary Wittert, Karen Bracken, Kristy P Robledo, Mathis Grossmann, Bu B Yeap, David J Handelsman, Bronwyn Stuckey, Ann Conway, Warrick Inder, Robert McLachlan and 8 more

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Trial report in The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 139 papers, 15 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
139citing papers in PubMed, 15 pooled it
24.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

139 citing papers in PubMed, 15 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 337 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The Role of Fat-Free Mass in Weight-Related Complications: A Rapid Review and Meta-Analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026
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  9. Testosterone replacement in men with sexual dysfunction.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
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  11. Guideline
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79 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 12 institutions in 1 country.

Gary WittertFreemasons Centre for Male Health and Wellbeing, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia; South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, SA, Australia. Electronic address: gary.wittert@adelaide.edu.au.
Karen BrackenNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Kristy P RobledoNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Mathis GrossmannDepartment of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Endocrinology, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Bu B YeapDepartment of Endocrinology and Diabetes, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Perth, WA, Australia; Medical School, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia.
David J HandelsmanANZAC Research Institute, Concord Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Bronwyn StuckeyMedical School, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia; Keogh Institute for Medical Research, Perth, WA, Australia; Department of Endocrinology and Diabetes, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, WA, Australia.
Ann ConwayANZAC Research Institute, Concord Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Warrick InderDepartment of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Robert McLachlanHudson Institute of Medical Research and Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.
Carolyn AllanHudson Institute of Medical Research and Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.
David JesudasonDepartment of Endocrinology, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Mark Ng Tang FuiDepartment of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Endocrinology, Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Wendy HagueNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Alicia JenkinsNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Mark DanielDepartment of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Health Research Institute, University of Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
Val GebskiNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Anthony KeechNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
The University of Sydney · AUNational Health and Medical Research Council · AUThe University of Melbourne · AUAnzac Research Institute · AUAustin Health · AUHudson Institute of Medical Research · AUKeogh Institute for Medical Research · AUMonash University · AUPrincess Alexandra Hospital · AUQueen Elizabeth Hospital · AUSouth Australian Health and Medical Research Institute · AUThe University of Western Australia · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMen who are overweight or obese frequently have low serum testosterone concentrations, which are associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. We aimed to determine whether testosterone treatment prevents progression to or reverses early type 2 diabetes, beyond the effects of a community-based lifestyle programme.

methodsT4DM was a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2-year, phase 3b trial done at six Australian tertiary care centres. Men aged 50-74 years, with a waist circumference of 95 cm or higher, a serum testosterone concentration of 14·0 nmol/L or lower but without pathological hypogonadism, and impaired glucose tolerance (oral glucose tolerance test [OGTT] 2-h glucose 7·8-11·0 mmol/L) or newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (provided OGTT 2-h glucose ≤15·0 mmol/L) were enrolled in a lifestyle programme and randomly assigned (1:1) to receive an intramuscular injection of testosterone undecanoate (1000 mg) or placebo at baseline, 6 weeks, and then every 3 months for 2 years. Randomisation was done centrally, including stratification by centre, age group, waist circumference, 2-h OGTT glucose, smoking, and first-degree family history of type 2 diabetes. The primary outcomes at 2 years were type 2 diabetes (2-h OGTT glucose ≥11·1 mmol/L) and mean change from baseline in 2-h OGTT glucose, assessed by intention to treat. For safety assessment, we did a masked monitoring of haematocrit and prostate-specific antigen, and analysed prespecified serious adverse events. This study is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN12612000287831.

findingsBetween Feb 5, 2013, and Feb 27, 2017, of 19 022 men who were pre-screened, 1007 (5%) were randomly assigned to the placebo (n=503) and testosterone (n=504) groups. At 2 years, 2-h glucose of 11·1 mmol/L or higher on OGTT was reported in 87 (21%) of 413 participants with available data in the placebo group and 55 (12%) of 443 participants in the testosterone group (relative risk 0·59, 95% CI 0·43 to 0·80; p=0·0007). The mean change from baseline 2-h glucose was -0·95 mmol/L (SD 2·78) in the placebo group and -1·70 mmol/L (SD 2·47) in the testosterone group (mean difference -0·75 mmol/L, -1·10 to -0·40; p<0·0001). The treatment effect was independent of baseline serum testosterone. A safety trigger for haematocrit greater than 54% occurred in six (1%) of 484 participants in the placebo group and 106 (22%) of 491 participants in the testosterone group, and a trigger for an increase of 0·75 μg/mL or more in prostate-specific antigen occurred in 87 (19%) of 468 participants in the placebo group and 109 (23%) of 480 participants in the testosterone group. Prespecified serious adverse events occurred in 37 (7·4%, 95% CI 5·4 to 10·0) of 503 patients in the placebo group and 55 (10·9%, 8·5 to 13·9) of 504 patients in the testosterone group. There were two deaths in each group.

interpretationTestosterone treatment for 2 years reduced the proportion of participants with type 2 diabetes beyond the effects of a lifestyle programme. Increases in haematocrit might be treatment limiting. Longer-term durability, safety, and cardiovascular effects of the intervention remain to be further investigated.

fundingAustralian National Health and Medical Research Council, Bayer, Eli Lilly, University of Adelaide, and WW (formerly Weight Watchers).

Indexed as

AgedAustraliaDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Disease ProgressionDouble-Blind MethodGlucose IntoleranceHumansLife StyleMaleMiddle AgedPlacebosPrediabetic StateRemission InductionRisk Reduction BehaviorTestosteroneTreatment OutcomePlacebosTestosterone

Identifiers

PMID33338415
OpenAlexW3111066920

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.