Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33331633›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2021

Subclinical synovitis in arthralgia: how often does it result in clinical arthritis? Reflecting on starting points for disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug treatment.

Cleo Rogier, Fenne Wouters, Laurette van Boheemen, Dirkjan van Schaardenburg, Pascal H P de Jong, Annette H M van der Helm-van Mil

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Cleo RogierDepartment of Rheumatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3783-7042
Fenne WoutersDepartment of Rheumatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4375-4043
Laurette van BoheemenAmsterdam Rheumatology and Immunology Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Dirkjan van SchaardenburgAmsterdam Rheumatology and Immunology Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Pascal H P de JongDepartment of Rheumatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6628-6222
Annette H M van der Helm-van MilDepartment of Rheumatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8572-1437
Erasmus MC · NLLeiden University Medical Center · NL

Funding

European Research Council 714312
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAccording to guidelines, clinical arthritis is mandatory for diagnosing RA. However, in the absence of clinical synovitis, imaging-detected subclinical synovitis is increasingly used instead and is considered as a starting point for DMARD therapy. To search for evidence we studied the natural course of arthralgia patients with subclinical synovitis from three longitudinal cohorts and determined the frequencies of non-progression to clinically apparent inflammatory arthritis (IA) (i.e. 'false positives').

methodsSubclinical synovitis in the hands or feet of arthralgia patients was visualized with US (two cohorts; definition: greyscale ≥2 and/or power Doppler ≥1) or MRI (one cohort; definition: synovitis score ≥1 by two readers). Patients were followed for 1  year on for IA development; two cohorts also had 3  year data. Analyses were stratified for ACPA.

resultsSubclinical synovitis at presentation was present in 36%, 41% and 31% in the three cohorts. Of the ACPA-positive arthralgia patients with subclinical synovitis, 54%, 44% and 68%, respectively, did not develop IA. These percentages were even higher in the ACPA-negative arthralgia patients: 66%, 85% and 89%, respectively. Similar results were seen after 3 years of follow-up.

conclusionReplacing clinical arthritis with subclinical synovitis to identify RA introduces a high false-positive rate (44-89%). These data suggest an overestimation regarding the value of ACPA positivity in combination with the presence of subclinical synovitis in patients with arthralgia, which harbours the risk of overtreatment if DMARDs are initiated in the absence of clinical arthritis.

Indexed as

Asymptomatic DiseasesAdultAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAntirheumatic AgentsArthralgiaArthritisCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleFoot JointsHand JointsHumansLongitudinal StudiesMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAntirheumatic Agentsanti-citrullinated antibodies (biomarkers)MRIoutcome assessment health careRAultrasonography

Identifiers

PMID33331633
PMCPMC8328495
OpenAlexW3115759518

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.