ArticleScientific reports2020
Improving climate suitability for Bemisia tabaci in East Africa is correlated with increased prevalence of whiteflies and cassava diseases.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.
- Integration of temperature-driven population model and pest monitoring data to estimate initial conditions and timing of first field invasion: application to the cassava whitefly,Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Article
- Genome-wide association study of cassava brown streak disease resistance in cassava germplasm conserved in South America.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Evidence that recent climatic changes have expanded the potential geographical range of the Mediterranean fruit fly.Scientific reports · 2024Review
- Current and future scenarios of suitability and expansion of cassava brown streak disease,PeerJ · 2024Article
- Emerging evidence of seed transmission of begomoviruses: implications in global circulation and disease outbreak.Frontiers in plant science · 2024Review
- Article
- Cassava mosaic disease and its whitefly vector in Cameroon: Incidence, severity and whitefly numbers from field surveys.Crop protection (Guildford, Surrey) · 2022Article
- Modelling cassava production and pest management under biotic and abiotic constraints.Plant molecular biology · 2022Review
- The role of pathogen-mediated insect superabundance in the East African emergence of a plant virus.The Journal of ecology · 2022Article
- A Review on Transcriptional Responses of Interactions between Insect Vectors and Plant Viruses.Cells · 2022Review
- Within-Season Changes in Land-Use Impact Pest Abundance in Smallholder African Cassava Production Systems.Insects · 2021Article
- Is High Whitefly Abundance on Cassava in Sub-Saharan Africa Driven by Biological Traits of a Specific, CrypticInsects · 2021Article
- Potential global distribution of Aleurocanthus woglumi considering climate change and irrigation.PloS one · 2021Article
- Evaluation of cultural control and resistance-breeding strategies for suppression of whitefly infestation of cassava at the landscape scale: a simulation modeling approach.Pest management science · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
14 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Projected climate changes are thought to promote emerging infectious diseases, though to date, evidence linking climate changes and such diseases in plants has not been available. Cassava is perhaps the most important crop in Africa for smallholder farmers. Since the late 1990's there have been reports from East and Central Africa of pandemics of begomoviruses in cassava linked to high abundances of whitefly species within the Bemisia tabaci complex. We used CLIMEX, a process-oriented climatic niche model, to explore if this pandemic was linked to recent historical climatic changes. The climatic niche model was corroborated with independent observed field abundance of B. tabaci in Uganda over a 13-year time-series, and with the probability of occurrence of B. tabaci over 2 years across the African study area. Throughout a 39-year climate time-series spanning the period during which the pandemics emerged, the modelled climatic conditions for B. tabaci improved significantly in the areas where the pandemics had been reported and were constant or decreased elsewhere. This is the first reported case where observed historical climate changes have been attributed to the increase in abundance of an insect pest, contributing to a crop disease pandemic.
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