Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33326363›Full record

ArticlePerspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science2021

Why Hypothesis Testers Should Spend Less Time Testing Hypotheses.

Anne M Scheel, Leonid Tiokhin, Peder M Isager, Daniël Lakens

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 82 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
82citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

82 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Do Salient Social Norms Moderate Mortality Salience Effects? A (Challenging) Meta-Analysis of Terror Management Studies.Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Re-Envisioning Clinical Science Training: Open Science as One of Many Important Steps.Clinical psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
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  6. To Be FAIR: Theory Specification Needs an Update.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2026
    Article
  7. Editorial Journal of Psycholinguistic Research.Journal of psycholinguistic research · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Improving statistical reporting in psychology.Communications psychology · 2025
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Assessment of Hope in Pediatric Oncology: Development, Content and Face Validation of a Parental Questionnaire.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Anne M ScheelHuman-Technology Interaction Group, Eindhoven University of Technology.ORCID 0000-0002-6627-0746
Leonid TiokhinHuman-Technology Interaction Group, Eindhoven University of Technology.ORCID 0000-0001-7333-0383
Peder M IsagerHuman-Technology Interaction Group, Eindhoven University of Technology.ORCID 0000-0002-6922-3590
Daniël LakensHuman-Technology Interaction Group, Eindhoven University of Technology.ORCID 0000-0002-0247-239X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

For almost half a century, Paul Meehl educated psychologists about how the mindless use of null-hypothesis significance tests made research on theories in the social sciences basically uninterpretable. In response to the replication crisis, reforms in psychology have focused on formalizing procedures for testing hypotheses. These reforms were necessary and influential. However, as an unexpected consequence, psychological scientists have begun to realize that they may not be ready to test hypotheses. Forcing researchers to prematurely test hypotheses before they have established a sound "derivation chain" between test and theory is counterproductive. Instead, various nonconfirmatory research activities should be used to obtain the inputs necessary to make hypothesis tests informative. Before testing hypotheses, researchers should spend more time forming concepts, developing valid measures, establishing the causal relationships between concepts and the functional form of those relationships, and identifying boundary conditions and auxiliary assumptions. Providing these inputs should be recognized and incentivized as a crucial goal in itself. In this article, we discuss how shifting the focus to nonconfirmatory research can tie together many loose ends of psychology's reform movement and help us to develop strong, testable theories, as Paul Meehl urged.

Indexed as

Psychological TheoryCausalityHumansPsychologyexploratory researchhypothesis testingreplication crisis

Identifiers

PMID33326363
PMCPMC8273364

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.