Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33325592›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical laboratory analysis2021

Development of risk prediction models for lung cancer based on tumor markers and radiological signs.

Yuqin Tu, Yan Wu, Yunfeng Lu, Xiaoyun Bi, Te Chen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical laboratory analysis, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Biomarkers Suitable for Early Detection of Intrathoracic Cancers in Primary Care: A Systematic Review.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yuqin TuDepartment of Medical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yan WuDepartment of Blood Transfusion, The First Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yunfeng LuDepartment of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Xiaoyun BiDepartment of Medical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Te ChenDepartment of Medical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7153-4016
The Affiliated Yongchuan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate prediction of malignancy risk for pulmonary lesions with pleural effusion improves early diagnosis of lung cancer. This study aimed to develop and validate a model to predict lung cancer.

methodsClinical data of 536 patients with pulmonary diseases were collected. The risk factors were identified by regression analysis. Three prediction models were developed. The predictive performances of the models were measured by the area under the curves (AUCs) and calibrated with 1000 bootstrap samples to minimize the over-fitting bias. The net benefits of the models were evaluated by decision curve analysis. Finally, a separate cohort of 134 patients was used to validate the models externally.

resultsSeven independent risk factors were identified from 18 clinical variables, which included the pleural fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), serum cytokeratin-19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1), the ratio of CEA in the pleural fluid to serum, extrathoracic cancer history (>5 years), tumor size, vessel convergence, and lobulation. The AUCs of the three models were 0.976, 0.927, and 0.944 in the training set and 0.930, 0.845, and 0.944 in the external set, respectively. The accuracies of the three models were 89.6%, 81.4%, and 88.8%. Model 1 showed the best iteration fit (R

conclusionThe advantageous model could assess the risk of lung cancer in patients with pleural effusion and act as a useful tool for early identification of lung cancer.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalAdultAgedAntigens, NeoplasmBiomarkers, TumorCalibrationCarcinoembryonic AntigenFemaleHumansKeratin-19Lung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPleural EffusionReproducibility of Resultsantigen CYFRA21.1Antigens, NeoplasmBiomarkers, TumorCarcinoembryonic AntigenKeratin-19lung cancerpleural effusionradiologyrisk assessmenttumor markers

Identifiers

PMID33325592
PMCPMC7957970
OpenAlexW3113031179

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.