ReviewNature ecology & evolution2021
Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts.
Review in Nature ecology & evolution, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 112 citations in OpenAlex.
- Changes in phenology mediate vertebrate population responses to temperature globally.Nature communications · 2026Pooled it
- Snowmelt predicts earlier breeding across the latitudinal range of an Arctic nesting seabird, the Little Auk (Alle alle).The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species.The Journal of animal ecology · 2026Article
- Temporal Variation in Early-Life Conditions Impacts on Later-Life Levels of Infection in Sex Specific Ways.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Article
- Quantifying Phenology in the Deciduous Tree and Phytophagous Insect System: A Methodological Comparison.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Lords of the flies: dipteran migrants are diverse, abundant and ecologically important.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- A framework for reproductive outcomes of phenological match-mismatch in migratory breeders tested on a declining species, caribou.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Shifts in avian migration phenologies do not compensate for changes to conditions en route in spring and fall.Ecology · 2025Article
- Individual plasticity in response to rising sea temperatures contributes to an advancement in green turtle nesting phenology.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Phenological divergence between plants and animals under climate change.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Space-for-time substitutions exaggerate urban bird-habitat ecological relationships.The Journal of animal ecology · 2024Article
- Article
- Spatial match-mismatch between predators and prey under climate change.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Review
- Avian migration clocks in a changing world.Journal of comparative physiology. A, Neuroethology, sensory, neural, and behavioral physiology · 2024Review
- Different currencies for calculating resource phenology result in opposite inferences about trophic mismatches.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- A life-history allele of large effect shortens developmental time in a wild insect population.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- Sexes in sync: phenotypic plasticity, sexual selection and phenological synchrony between the sexes in a wild hibernator.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Long-term warming and human-induced plankton shifts at a coastal Eastern Mediterranean site.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Inconsistent shifts in warming and temperature variability are linked to reduced avian fitness.Nature communications · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
21 authors at 15 institutions in 5 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match-mismatch hypothesis postulates that differential shifts can lead to phenological asynchrony with negative impacts for consumers. However, at present there has been no consistent analysis of the links between temperature change, phenological asynchrony and individual-to-population-level impacts across taxa, trophic levels and biomes at a global scale. Here, we propose five criteria that all need to be met to demonstrate that temperature-mediated trophic asynchrony poses a growing risk to consumers. We conduct a literature review of 109 papers studying 129 taxa, and find that all five criteria are assessed for only two taxa, with the majority of taxa only having one or two criteria assessed. Crucially, nearly every study was conducted in Europe or North America, and most studies were on terrestrial secondary consumers. We thus lack a robust evidence base from which to draw general conclusions about the risk that climate-mediated trophic asynchrony may pose to populations worldwide.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.