Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33318167›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Global tree-ring analysis reveals rapid decrease in tropical tree longevity with temperature.

Giuliano Maselli Locosselli, Roel J W Brienen, Melina de Souza Leite, Manuel Gloor, Stefan Krottenthaler, Alexandre A de Oliveira, Jonathan Barichivich, Dieter Anhuf, Gregorio Ceccantini, Jochen Schöngart and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 120 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Superellipse Equation Describing the Geometries ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Giuliano Maselli LocosselliInstitute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil; locosselli@yahoo.com.br msbuck@usp.br.ORCID 0000-0002-2178-2027
Roel J W BrienenSchool of Geography, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT Leeds, United Kingdom.
Melina de Souza LeiteInstitute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-0505-0667
Manuel GloorSchool of Geography, University of Leeds, LS2 9JT Leeds, United Kingdom.
Stefan KrottenthalerDepartment of Physical Geography, University of Passau, 94032 Passau, Germany.
Alexandre A de OliveiraInstitute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5526-8109
Jonathan BarichivichInstituto de Geografía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, 2390302 Valparaíso, Chile.ORCID 0000-0002-8223-2491
Dieter AnhufDepartment of Physical Geography, University of Passau, 94032 Passau, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0765-1960
Gregorio CeccantiniInstitute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil.
Jochen SchöngartNational Institute of Amazonian Research, Manaus, AM 69067-375, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-7696-9657
Marcos BuckeridgeInstitute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP 05508-090, Brazil; locosselli@yahoo.com.br msbuck@usp.br.ORCID 0000-0002-5455-8136
Universidade de São Paulo · BRUniversity of Leeds · GBUniversity of Passau · DEInstituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia · BRPontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso · CL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forests are the largest terrestrial biomass pool, with over half of this biomass stored in the highly productive tropical lowland forests. The future evolution of forest biomass depends critically on the response of tree longevity and growth rates to future climate. We present an analysis of the variation in tree longevity and growth rate using tree-ring data of 3,343 populations and 438 tree species and assess how climate controls growth and tree longevity across world biomes. Tropical trees grow, on average, two times faster compared to trees from temperate and boreal biomes and live significantly shorter, on average (186 ± 138 y compared to 322 ± 201 y outside the tropics). At the global scale, growth rates and longevity covary strongly with temperature. Within the warm tropical lowlands, where broadleaf species dominate the vegetation, we find consistent decreases in tree longevity with increasing aridity, as well as a pronounced reduction in longevity above mean annual temperatures of 25.4 °C. These independent effects of temperature and water availability on tree longevity in the tropics are consistent with theoretical predictions of increases in evaporative demands at the leaf level under a warmer and drier climate and could explain observed increases in tree mortality in tropical forests, including the Amazon, and shifts in forest composition in western Africa. Our results suggest that conditions supporting only lower tree longevity in the tropical lowlands are likely to expand under future drier and especially warmer climates.

Indexed as

LongevityTemperatureTropical ClimateEcosystemGeographyModels, TheoreticalTreesWaterWatercarbon cycleclimate changedendrochronologyforest dynamics

Identifiers

PMID33318167
PMCPMC7776984
OpenAlexW3111156279

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.