Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33314365›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiac surgery2021

Development and validation of a model for predicting acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery in patients of advanced age.

Penghua Hu, Yuanhan Chen, Yanhua Wu, Li Song, Li Zhang, Zhilian Li, Lei Fu, Shuangxin Liu, Zhiming Ye, Wei Shi and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiac surgery, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Penghua HuThe Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuanhan ChenDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Yanhua WuDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Li SongDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Li ZhangDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Zhilian LiDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Lei FuDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Shuangxin LiuDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Zhiming YeDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Wei ShiDivision of Nephrology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
Xinling LiangThe Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6764-9571

Funding

Guangdong Science and Technology Project 2017A070709008Guangzhou Science and Technology Project 201604020037Medical Scientific Research Foundation of Guangdong Province A2019038
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop a clinical model for predicting postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients of advanced age undergoing cardiac surgery.

methodsA total of 848 patients (aged ≥ 60 years) undergoing cardiac surgery were consecutively enrolled. Among them, 597 were randomly selected for the development set and the remaining 251 for the validation set. AKI was the primary outcome. To develop a model for predicting AKI, visualized as a nomogram, we performed logistic regression with variables selected by Lasso regression analysis. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the new model were assessed and compared with those of Cleveland Clinic score and Simplified Renal Index (SRI) score in the validation set.

resultsThe incidence of AKI was 61.8% in the development set. The new model included seven variables including preoperative serum creatinine, hypertension, preoperative uric acid, New York Heart Association classification ≥ 3, cardiopulmonary bypass time > 120 min, intraoperative red blood cell transfusion, and postoperative prolonged mechanical ventilation. In the validation set, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for assessing discrimination of the new model, Cleveland Clinic score, and SRI score were 0.801, 0.670, and 0.627, respectively. Compared with the other two scores, the new model presented excellent calibration according to the calibration curves. Decision curve analysis presented the new model was more clinically useful than the other two scores.

conclusionsWe developed and validated a new model for predicting AKI after cardiac surgery in patients of advanced age, which may help clinicians assess patients' risk for AKI.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryCardiac Surgical ProceduresAgedHumansPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsacute kidney injuryadvanced agecardiac surgeryrisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID33314365
PMCPMC7898501

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.