Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33310811›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Use of infectious disease surveillance reports to monitor the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America and the Caribbean from 2015 to 2017: strengths and deficiencies.

Joan K Morris, Helen Dolk, Pablo Durán, Ieda Maria Orioli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Joan K MorrisPopulation Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London, UK jmorris@sgul.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-7164-612X
Helen DolkMaternal Fetal and Infant Research Centre, Institute of Nursing and Health Research, Ulster University-Jordanstown Campus, Newtownabbey, UK.
Pablo DuránLatin American Center of Perinatology, Women and Reproductive Health, Pan American Health Organization, Montevideo, Uruguay.
Ieda Maria OrioliLatin American Network of Congenital Malformations (ReLAMC) at Department of Genetics, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_15098
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo summarise the occurrence of congenital Zika syndrome (CZS) in Latin America and the Caribbean from 2015 to 2017 using two outcome measures derived from infectious disease surveillance reports and to assess the completeness of these reports.

designSurveillance study.

settingPan American Health Organization (PAHO)/WHO epidemiology reports on confirmed and suspected Zika virus infection and cases of CZS.

participantsPopulations of 47 countries in the South and Central Americas, Mexico and the Caribbean. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of CZS cases per 1000 births (using 2016-2017 births as a denominator) and the number of CZS cases per 1000 births in women with Zika virus infection during pregnancy.

resultsBy 4 January 2018, 548623 suspected and 239063 confirmed Zika virus infections had been reported to PAHO/WHO from 47 countries. In 25 countries, over 80% of infections were reported as suspected. There were 3617 confirmed CZS cases in 25 countries; 2952 (82%) had occurred in Brazil. The number of CZS cases per 1000 births varied considerably with Brazil and several Caribbean island communities (Puerto Rico, St Martin, Martinique, Guadeloupe and Grenada) having the highest CZS prevalence above 0.5 per 1000 births. Analysing the number of CZS cases per 1000 births in women infected with Zika virus during their pregnancy highlighted the inaccuracies of the data, with Venezuela likely to have had severe under-reporting of CZS.

conclusionsExpressing data on CZS in relation to total births, rather than as absolute numbers, better illustrates the burden of disease, providing that under-reporting of CZS is not too severe. Data on infections in pregnant women enable potential under-reporting of CZS to be identified. Both measures are recommended for future PAHO/WHO publications. Evidence of severe under-reporting of Zika virus infections and CZS makes interpretation of the data and comparisons between countries challenging.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesEpidemicsMicrocephalyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousZika VirusZika Virus InfectionBrazilFemaleGrenadaHumansInfant, NewbornLatin AmericaMartiniqueMexicoPregnancyPuerto Ricoepidemiologyfetal medicinepublic healthstatistics & research methods

Identifiers

PMID33310811
PMCPMC7735125

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.