Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33308660›Full record

ReviewThe Indian journal of tuberculosis2020

The potential impact of the COVID-19 response related lockdown on TB incidence and mortality in India.

Anurag Bhargava, Hemant Deepak Shewade

Open access · greenAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in The Indian journal of tuberculosis, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 81 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Qualitative Exploration into a Statewide Differentiated TB Care Initiative Aimed at Reducing TB Deaths.Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive & Social Medicine · 2026
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  11. Tuberculosis Notification in Jordan, 2016-2020.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
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  13. Review
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  15. Burden of TB during COVID-19 pandemic-single center experience.Journal of family medicine and primary care · 2022
    Article
  16. The syndemic of "COVID-19 and tuberculosis".Journal of family medicine and primary care · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
  18. The COVID-19 and TB syndemic: the way forward.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2022
    Review
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Anurag BhargavaDepartment of Medicine, Yenepoya Medical College, Yenepoya (Deemed to Be University), Mangaluru, 575018, India; Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, H4A 3J1, Canada; Center for Nutrition Studies, Yenepoya (Deemed to Be University), Mangaluru, 575018, India.
Hemant Deepak ShewadeThe Union South East Asia, New Delhi, 110016, India. Electronic address: hemantjipmer@gmail.com.
World Health Organization Regional Office for South-East Asia · INYenepoya University · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

India has the highest burden of incident tuberculosis (TB) cases and deaths globally. TB is strongly associated with poverty and this risk is largely mediated by undernutrition in India. COVID-19 response related lockdown has resulted in an economic crisis which may double levels of poverty, has exacerbated food insecurity, and disrupted TB services. These developments may have serious implications for TB progression and transmission in India. The nutritional status of a population is a strong determinant of the TB incidence, and undernutrition in adults alone accounts for 32-44% of TB incidence in India. A systematic review has shown that a 14% increase in TB incidence can occur per one unit decrease in body mass index (BMI), across the BMI range of 18.5-30 kg/m2. We believe that one unit decrease in BMI (corresponding to a 2-3 kg weight loss) may result in the poor in India as a result of the lockdown and its aftermath. This may result in an increase in estimated (uncertainty interval) incident TB by 185 610 (180 230, 190 990) cases. A 59% reduction in TB case detection between end March and May 2020, may result in an estimated (uncertainty interval) additional 87 711 (59 998, 120 630) TB deaths [19.5% increase (14.5, 24.7)] in 2020. Disadvantaged social groups and those living in states with higher levels of poverty, under-nutrition,and migrant workers are at particular risk. We suggest enhanced rations including pulses through the public distribution system and direct cash transfers to the poor pending restoration of livelihoods. TB services should be resumed immediately with enhanced efforts at case detection including active case finding. To prevent deaths among TB detected within the national TB programme, systemic identification, referral and management of severe disease at notification should be considered.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlHealth Services AccessibilityAdultCOVID-19HumansIncidenceIndiaNutritional StatusSARS-CoV-2TuberculosisCoronavirusImpoverishmentLockdownMortalityPerturbationTuberculosis epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID33308660
PMCPMC7348601
OpenAlexW3041715185

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.