ArticleInfection control and hospital epidemiology2021
Evaluating intervention strategies in controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread in care homes: An agent-based model.
Article in Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Non-pharmacological measures implemented in the setting of long-term care facilities to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infections and their consequences: a rapid review.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021Pooled it
- Informing optimal testing and isolation strategies across different stages of the diagnostic development pipeline using mathematical models: SARS-CoV-2 in the UK as a case study.BMJ public health · 2026Article
- Evaluating Policies to Decrease the Risk of Introducing SARS-CoV-2 Infections to Nursing Home Facilities.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2023Article
- Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities.PloS one · 2023Article
- Are psychological status and trust in information related to vaccine hesitancy during COVID-19 pandemic? A latent class and mediation analyses in Italy.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2022Article
- Mathematical Models Supporting Control of COVID-19.China CDC weekly · 2022Article
- Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID-19: A systematic review.Systems research and behavioral science · 2022Article
- Testing and vaccination to reduce the impact of COVID-19 in nursing homes: an agent-based approach.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Evaluating intervention strategies in controlling coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread in care homes: An agent-based model - CORRIGENDUM.Infection control and hospital epidemiology · 2022Article
- Agent-based epidemiological modeling of COVID-19 in localized environments.Computers in biology and medicine · 2022Article
- Modeling COVID-19 Outbreaks in Long-Term Care Facilities Using an Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Approach.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Preventing COVID-19 outbreaks through surveillance testing in healthcare facilities: a modelling study.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Rapid antigen testing as a reactive response to surges in nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 outbreak risk.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Hybrid simulation modelling of networks of heterogeneous care homes and the inter-facility spread of Covid-19 by sharing staff.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Agent-Based Simulation of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Russia.Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences · 2022Article
- Agent-based simulations for protecting nursing homes with prevention and vaccination strategies.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Article
- Impact of visitation and cohorting policies to shield residents from covid-19 spread in care homes: an agent-based model.American journal of infection control · 2021Article
- Role of efficient testing and contact tracing in mitigating the COVID-19 pandemic: a network modelling study.BMJ open · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundCare homes are vulnerable to widespread transmission of severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with poor outcomes for staff and residents. Infection control interventions in care homes need to not only be effective in containing the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) but also feasible to implement in this special setting which is both a healthcare institution and a home.
methodsWe developed an agent-based model that simulates the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 via contacts between individuals, including residents, staff members, and visitors in a care home setting. We explored a representative care home in Scotland in our base case and explore other care home setups in an uncertainty analysis. We evaluated the effectiveness of a range of intervention strategies in controlling the spread of COVID-19.
resultsIn the presence of the reference interventions that have been implemented in many care homes, including testing of new admissions, isolation of symptomatic residents, and restricted public visiting, routine testing of staff appears to be the most effective and practical approach. Routine testing of residents is no more effective as a reference strategy while routine testing of both staff and residents only shows a negligible additive effect. Modeling results are very sensitive to transmission probability per contact, but the qualitative finding is robust to varying parameter values in our uncertainty analysis.
conclusionsOur model predictions suggest that routine testing should target staff in care homes in conjunction with adherence to strict hand hygiene and using personal protective equipment to reduce risk of transmission per contact.
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