Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33304643›Full record

ArticleAIP advances2020

A modified SEIR model applied to the data of COVID-19 spread in Saudi Arabia.

Hamdy M Youssef, Najat A Alghamdi, Magdy A Ezzat, Alaa A El-Bary, Ahmed M Shawky

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIP advances, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Characteristics and outcome of COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia: Review of six-months of data (March-August 2020).Saudi pharmaceutical journal : SPJ : the official publication of the Saudi Pharmaceutical Society · 2021
    Article
  10. New strategy to control covid-19 pandemic using lead/lag compensator.Biomedical signal processing and control · 2021
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hamdy M YoussefMechanical Engineering Department, College of Engineering and Islamic Architecture, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21955, Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0003-4919-2966
Najat A AlghamdiDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Applied Science, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21955, Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0002-5796-3217
Magdy A EzzatDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science and Arts, Qassim University, Al Bukairiyah, Al Qassim, 52725, Saudi Arabia.
Alaa A El-BaryBasic and Applied Science Institute, Arab Academy for Science, Technology, and Maritime Transport, P.O. Box 1029, Alexandria, Egypt.
Ahmed M ShawkyScience and Technology Unit (STU), Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21955, Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model is an established and appropriate approach in many countries to ascertain the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic. We wished to create a new COVID-19 model to be suitable for patients in any country. In this work, a modified SEIR model was constructed. We used the real data of COVID-19 spread in Saudi Arabia for statistical analyses and complex analyses. The reproduction number and detailed review of stability demonstrated the complexities of our proposed SEIR model. The solution and equilibrium condition were explored based on Jacobian's linearization approach to the proposed SEIR model. The state of equilibrium was demonstrated, and a stability study was conducted in the disease-free environment. The reproduction number was measured sensitively against its internal parameters. Using the Lyapunov principle of equilibrium, the overall consistency of balance of our model was demonstrated. Findings using the SEIR model and observed outcomes due to COVID-19 spread in Saudi Arabia were compared. The modified SEIR model could enable successful analyses of the spread of epidemics such as COVID-19. An "ideal protocol" comprised essential steps to help Saudi Arabia decelerate COVID-19 spread. The most important aspects are to stay at home as much as possible and for infected people to remain in an isolated zone or secure area.

Identifiers

PMID33304643
PMCPMC7722269

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.