Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33301451›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Mapping risk of ischemic heart disease using machine learning in a Brazilian state.

Marcela Bergamini, Pedro Henrique Iora, Thiago Augusto Hernandes Rocha, Yolande Pokam Tchuisseu, Amanda de Carvalho Dutra, João Felipe Herman Costa Scheidt, Oscar Kenji Nihei, Maria Dalva de Barros Carvalho, Catherine Ann Staton, João Ricardo Nickenig Vissoci and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Observational
  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Marcela BergaminiPostgraduate Program in Health Sciences, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-8517-0660
Pedro Henrique IoraDepartment of Medicine, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.
Thiago Augusto Hernandes RochaDuke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
Yolande Pokam TchuisseuDuke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
Amanda de Carvalho DutraPostgraduate Program in Health Sciences, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.
João Felipe Herman Costa ScheidtDepartment of Medicine, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2638-5407
Oscar Kenji NiheiEducation, Letters and Health Center, State University of the West of Parana, Foz do Iguaçu, Parana, Brazil.
Maria Dalva de Barros CarvalhoPostgraduate Program in Health Sciences, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.
Catherine Ann StatonDuke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
João Ricardo Nickenig VissociDuke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
Luciano de AndradePostgraduate Program in Health Sciences, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Brazil.
Universidade Estadual de Maringá · BRDuke University · USUniversidade Estadual do Oeste do Paraná · BR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of deaths globally. Machine learning studies predicting mortality rates for ischemic heart disease (IHD) at the municipal level are very limited. The goal of this paper was to create and validate a Heart Health Care Index (HHCI) to predict risk of IHD based on location and risk factors. Secondary data, geographical information system (GIS) and machine learning were used to validate the HHCI and stratify the IHD municipality risk in the state of Paraná. A positive spatial autocorrelation was found (Moran's I = 0.6472, p-value = 0.001), showing clusters of high IHD mortality. The Support Vector Machine, which had an RMSE of 0.789 and error proportion close to one (0.867), was the best for prediction among eight machine learning algorithms after validation. In the north and northwest regions of the state, HHCI was low and mortality clusters patterns were high. By creating an HHCI through ML, we can predict IHD mortality rate at municipal level, identifying predictive characteristics that impact health conditions of these localities' guided health management decisions for improvements for IHD within the emergency care network in the state of Paraná.

Indexed as

BrazilHumansMachine LearningModels, TheoreticalMyocardial IschemiaRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID33301451
PMCPMC7728276
OpenAlexW3111048993

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.