Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33293481›Full record

Trial reportGut and liver2021

Direct Bilirubin Is More Valuable than Total Bilirubin for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis.

Han Ah Lee, Joon Young Jung, Young-Sun Lee, Young Kul Jung, Ji Hoon Kim, Hyonggin An, Hyung Joon Yim, Yoon Tae Jeen, Jong Eun Yeon, Kwan Soo Byun and 2 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · diamondAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Gut and liver, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05566548 (The Importance of Bilirubin Molecular Species in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis Who Develop Hepatic Encephalopathy and Patients With Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure), which is not on this map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05566548 unknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

The Importance of Bilirubin Molecular Species in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis Who Develop Hepatic Encephalopathy and Patients With Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure

TypeobservationalSponsorMedica Sur Clinic & FoundationRan2022 to 2023Enrolled50ConditionsHepatic Encephalopathy, Acute-On-Chronic Liver FailureArmsLiquid Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry Method to identify bilirubin molecular species
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Bilirubin metabolism and its application in disease prevention: mechanisms and research advances.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Han Ah LeeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4082-1121
Joon Young JungDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4579-8709
Young-Sun LeeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-6396-0859
Young Kul JungDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6566-1382
Ji Hoon KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-3924-0434
Hyonggin AnDepartment of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-0566-758X
Hyung Joon YimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6036-2754
Yoon Tae JeenDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-0220-3816
Jong Eun YeonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-0510-7371
Kwan Soo ByunDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4031-842X
Soon Ho UmDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-6390-2218
Yeon Seok SeoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4171-6331
Korea University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background/Aims: Most prognostic prediction models for patients with liver cirrhosis include serum total bilirubin (TB) level as a component. This study investigated prognostic performance of serum direct bilirubin (DB) and developed new DB level-based prediction models for cirrhosis. Methods: A total of 983 hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis were included. DB-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was calculated using MELD score formula, with serum DB level replacing TB level. Results: Mean age of study population was 56.1 years. Alcoholic liver disease was the most frequent underlying condition (471 patients, 47.9%). Within 6 months, 144 patients (14.6%) died or received liver transplantation due to severe liver dysfunction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for prediction of 6-month mortality with DB level was significantly higher than that with TB level (p<0.001). The AUROC of DB-MELD score for prediction of 6-month mortality was significantly higher than that of MELD score (p<0.001). Patients were randomly divided into training (n=492) and validation (n=491) cohorts. A new prognostic prediction model, "Direct Bilirubin, INR, and Creatinine" (DiBIC) score, was developed based on the most significant predictors of 6-month mortality. In training set, AUROC of DiBIC score for prediction of 6-month mortality was 0.892, which was significantly higher than that of the MELD score (0.875, p=0.017), but not different from that of DB-MELD score (0.886, p=0.272). Similar results were observed in validation set. Conclusions: New prognostic models, DB-MELD and DiBIC scores, have good prognostic performance in liver cirrhosis patients, outperforming other currently available models.

Indexed as

BilirubinEnd Stage Liver DiseaseHumansLiver CirrhosisMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSeverity of Illness IndexBilirubinDirect bilirubinLiver cirrhosisPrediction modelPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID33293481
PMCPMC8283287
OpenAlexW3111619332

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.