ArticleEpidemiology and infection2020
Quarantine and the risk of COVID-19 importation.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- International travel-related control measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021Pooled it
- Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Multiple cohort study of hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 in-host infection dynamics: Parameter estimates, identifiability, sensitivity and the eclipse phase profile.Journal of theoretical biology · 2023Article
- Assessing the impact of local context and priorities regarding domestic disease outbreaks and imported risk on early pandemic response: Cross-continental comparisons.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Effect of Movement on the Early Phase of an Epidemic.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2022Article
- Bistability in deterministic and stochastic SLIAR-type models with imperfect and waning vaccine protection.Journal of mathematical biology · 2022Article
- Article
- Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Newfoundland and Labrador.Royal Society open science · 2021Article
- Managing the risk of a COVID-19 outbreak from border arrivals.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Article
- Risk of COVID-19 variant importation - How useful are travel control measures?Infectious Disease Modelling · 2021Article
- Modeling approaches to inform travel-related policies for COVID-19 containment: A scoping review and future directions.Travel medicine and infectious diseaseArticle
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Using a stochastic model, we assess the risk of importation-induced local transmission chains in locations seeing few or no local transmissions and evaluate the role of quarantine in the mitigation of this risk. We find that the rate of importations plays a critical role in determining the risk that case importations lead to local transmission chains, more so than local transmission characteristics, i.e. strength of social distancing measures (NPI). The latter influences the severity of the outbreaks when they do take place. Quarantine after arrival in a location is an efficacious way to reduce the rate of importations. Locations that see no or low-level local transmission should ensure that the rate of importations remains low. A high level of compliance with post-arrival quarantine followed by testing achieves this objective with less of an impact than travel restrictions or bans.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.