ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2020
What processes must we understand to forecast regional-scale population dynamics?
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Detection of Eco-Evolutionary Dynamics in Communities Using Joint Species Distribution Models.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- A new genomic resource to enable standardized surveys of SNPs across the native range of brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis).Molecular ecology resources · 2025Article
- Landscape transcriptomics as a tool for addressing global change effects across diverse species.Molecular ecology resources · 2025Review
- Maladaptation in cereal crop landraces following a soot-producing climate catastrophe.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Tree rings reveal the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Climate biogeography ofJournal of biogeography · 2024Article
- GrowthPredict: A toolbox and tutorial-based primer for fitting and forecasting growth trajectories using phenomenological growth models.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Pathways to global-change effects on biodiversity: new opportunities for dynamically forecasting demography and species interactions.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Review
- The importance of considering the duration of extreme temperatures when investigating responses to climate change.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Genomic reaction norms inform predictions of plastic and adaptive responses to climate change.The Journal of animal ecology · 2022Review
- The interplay between hunting rate, hunting selectivity, and reproductive strategies shapes population dynamics of a large carnivore.Evolutionary applications · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
An urgent challenge facing biologists is predicting the regional-scale population dynamics of species facing environmental change. Biologists suggest that we must move beyond predictions based on phenomenological models and instead base predictions on underlying processes. For example, population biologists, evolutionary biologists, community ecologists and ecophysiologists all argue that the respective processes they study are essential. Must our models include processes from all of these fields? We argue that answering this critical question is ultimately an empirical exercise requiring a substantial amount of data that have not been integrated for any system to date. To motivate and facilitate the necessary data collection and integration, we first review the potential importance of each mechanism for skilful prediction. We then develop a conceptual framework based on reaction norms, and propose a hierarchical Bayesian statistical framework to integrate processes affecting reaction norms at different scales. The ambitious research programme we advocate is rapidly becoming feasible due to novel collaborations, datasets and analytical tools.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.