Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33289025›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Feasibility of Onchocerciasis Elimination Using a "Test-and-not-treat" Strategy in Loa loa Co-endemic Areas.

David J Blok, Joseph Kamgno, Sebastien D Pion, Hugues C Nana-Djeunga, Yannick Niamsi-Emalio, Cedric B Chesnais, Charles D Mackenzie, Amy D Klion, Daniel A Fletcher, Thomas B Nutman and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 36% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Accelerating Progress Towards the 2030 Neglected Tropical Diseases Targets: How Can Quantitative Modeling Support Programmatic Decisions?Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  9. UnexpectedOpen forum infectious diseases · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

David J BlokDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8919-1063
Joseph KamgnoCentre for Research on Filariasis and other Tropical Diseases (CRFilMT), Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Sebastien D PionIRD UMI 233-INSERM U1175-Montpellier University, Montpellier, France.
Hugues C Nana-DjeungaCentre for Research on Filariasis and other Tropical Diseases (CRFilMT), Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Yannick Niamsi-EmalioCentre for Research on Filariasis and other Tropical Diseases (CRFilMT), Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Cedric B ChesnaisIRD UMI 233-INSERM U1175-Montpellier University, Montpellier, France.
Charles D MackenzieTask force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia, United States.
Amy D KlionLaboratory of Parasitic Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Maryland, United States.
Daniel A FletcherDepartment of Bioengineering and the Biophysics Program, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States.
Thomas B NutmanLaboratory of Parasitic Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, Maryland, United States.
Sake J de VlasDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Michel BoussinesqIRD UMI 233-INSERM U1175-Montpellier University, Montpellier, France.
Wilma A StolkDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus MC · NLInserm · FRNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases · USThe Task Force for Global Health · USUniversity of California, Berkeley · US

Funding

Eosinophils and Eosinophil Activation in the Pathogenesis of Human DiseaseZIAAI001130 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI KLION, AMY · 2010 to 2025
$22.5M
Clinical And Therapeutic Studies Of Human Filariasis and Related DiseasesZIAAI000439 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI NUTMAN, THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$14.8M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMass drug administration (MDA) with ivermectin is the main strategy for onchocerciasis elimination. Ivermectin is generally safe, but is associated with serious adverse events in individuals with high Loa loa microfilarial densities (MFD). Therefore, ivermectin MDA is not recommended in areas where onchocerciasis is hypo-endemic and L loa is co-endemic. To eliminate onchocerciasis in those areas, a test-and-not-treat (TaNT) strategy has been proposed. We investigated whether onchocerciasis elimination can be achieved using TaNT and the required duration.

methodsWe used the individual-based model ONCHOSIM to predict the impact of TaNT on onchocerciasis microfilarial (mf) prevalence. We simulated precontrol mf prevalence levels from 2% to 40%. The impact of TaNT was simulated under varying levels of participation, systematic nonparticipation, and exclusion from ivermectin resulting from high L loa MFD. For each scenario, we assessed the time to elimination, defined as bringing onchocerciasis mf prevalence below 1.4%.

resultsIn areas with 30% to 40% precontrol mf prevalence, the model predicted that it would take between 14 and 16 years to bring the mf prevalence below 1.4% using conventional MDA, assuming 65% participation. TaNT would increase the time to elimination by up to 1.5 years, depending on the level of systematic nonparticipation and the exclusion rate. At lower exclusion rates (≤2.5%), the delay would be less than 6 months.

conclusionsOur model predicts that onchocerciasis can be eliminated using TaNT in L loa co-endemic areas. The required treatment duration using TaNT would be only slightly longer than in areas with conventional MDA, provided that participation is good.

Indexed as

LoiasisOnchocerciasisAnimalsFeasibility StudiesHumansIvermectinLoaPrevalenceIvermectineliminationLoa loamodelingonchocerciasispoint-of-care testing

Identifiers

PMID33289025
PMCPMC8204788
OpenAlexW3110972141

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.