Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33288870›Full record

ReviewNature ecology & evolution2021

A unifying framework for studying and managing climate-driven rates of ecological change.

John W Williams, Alejandro Ordonez, Jens-Christian Svenning

Abstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in Nature ecology & evolution, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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  5. The dynamic feasibility of resisting (R), accepting (A), or directing (D) ecological change.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Tree rings reveal the transient risk of extinction hidden inside climate envelope forecasts.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  11. Legacies of millennial-scale climate oscillations in contemporary biodiversity in eastern North America.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  12. Navigating ecological novelty towards planetary stewardship: challenges and opportunities in biodiversity dynamics in a transforming biosphere.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Transient social-ecological dynamics reveal signals of decoupling in a highly disturbed Anthropocene landscape.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

John W WilliamsDepartment of Geography and Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA. jwwilliams1@wisc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6046-9634
Alejandro OrdonezCenter for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE) and Section for Ecoinformatics and Biodiversity, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Jens-Christian SvenningCenter for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE) and Section for Ecoinformatics and Biodiversity, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3415-0862

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During the Anthropocene and other eras of rapidly changing climates, rates of change of ecological systems can be described as fast, slow or abrupt. Fast ecological responses closely track climate change, slow responses substantively lag climate forcing, causing disequilibria and reduced fitness, and abrupt responses are characterized by nonlinear, threshold-type responses at rates that are large relative to background variability and forcing. All three kinds of climate-driven ecological dynamics are well documented in contemporary studies, palaeoecology and invasion biology. This fast-slow-abrupt conceptual framework helps unify a bifurcated climate-change literature, which tends to separately consider the ecological risks posed by slow or abrupt ecological dynamics. Given the prospect of ongoing climate change for the next several decades to centuries of the Anthropocene and wide variations in ecological rates of change, the theory and practice of managing ecological systems should shift attention from target states to target rates. A rates-focused framework broadens the strategic menu for managers to include options to both slow and accelerate ecological rates of change, seeks to reduce mismatch among climate and ecological rates of change, and provides a unified conceptual framework for tackling the distinct risks associated with fast, slow and abrupt ecological rates of change.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystem

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.