Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33288709›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Post-2020 biodiversity targets need to embrace climate change.

Almut Arneth, Yunne-Jai Shin, Paul Leadley, Carlo Rondinini, Elena Bukvareva, Melanie Kolb, Guy F Midgley, Thierry Oberdorff, Ignacio Palomo, Osamu Saito

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 52 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
52citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

52 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Towards evidence-based conservation of subterranean ecosystems.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Impact of Drought on Cereals Infected withPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Review
  6. Deforestation-focused policies do not reduce degradation in the Brazilian Amazon.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Stress and resilience in northern European marine ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  9. Indigenous peoples and local community reports of climate change impacts on biodiversity.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Almut ArnethAtmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany; almut.arneth@kit.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-6616-0822
Yunne-Jai ShinMarine Biodiversity, Exploitation and Conservation (MARBEC), Université Montpellier, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER), CNRS, 34000 Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-7259-9265
Paul LeadleyEcologie, Systématique et Evolution, Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, AgroParisTech, 91405 Orsay, France.
Carlo RondininiDepartment of Biology and Biotechnologies, Global Mammal Assessment Program, Sapienza University of Rome, 00185 Rome, Italy.
Elena BukvarevaEcosystem Services Projects Section, Biodiversity Conservation Center, 117312, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0003-0023-7270
Melanie KolbGeographic Institute, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, 04510 Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0002-3329-3861
Guy F MidgleyGlobal Change Biology Group, Botany and Zoology Department, University of Stellenbosch, 7600 Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Thierry OberdorffLaboratoire Évolution et Diversité Biologique, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD 253), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS 5174), Université Paul Sabatier, 31062 Toulouse, France.ORCID 0000-0001-7323-2599
Ignacio PalomoLaboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine, UMR 5553, CNRS-Université Grenoble Alpes, 38400 Grenoble, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4573-5989
Osamu SaitoNatural Resources and Ecosystem Services Area, Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), Kanagawa 240-0115, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-0697-9593

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent assessment reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) have highlighted the risks to humanity arising from the unsustainable use of natural resources. Thus far, land, freshwater, and ocean exploitation have been the chief causes of biodiversity loss. Climate change is projected to be a rapidly increasing additional driver for biodiversity loss. Since climate change and biodiversity loss impact human societies everywhere, bold solutions are required that integrate environmental and societal objectives. As yet, most existing international biodiversity targets have overlooked climate change impacts. At the same time, climate change mitigation measures themselves may harm biodiversity directly. The Convention on Biological Diversity's post-2020 framework offers the important opportunity to address the interactions between climate change and biodiversity and revise biodiversity targets accordingly by better aligning these with the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals. We identify the considerable number of existing and proposed post-2020 biodiversity targets that risk being severely compromised due to climate change, even if other barriers to their achievement were removed. Our analysis suggests that the next set of biodiversity targets explicitly addresses climate change-related risks since many aspirational goals will not be feasible under even lower-end projections of future warming. Adopting more flexible and dynamic approaches to conservation, rather than static goals, would allow us to respond flexibly to changes in habitats, genetic resources, species composition, and ecosystem functioning and leverage biodiversity's capacity to contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeCarbon DioxideConservation of Natural ResourcesFeedbackCarbon Dioxidebiodiversityecosystem servicespolicysustainability

Identifiers

PMID33288709
PMCPMC7739876

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.