Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33284825›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2020

Prevalence and predictors of death and severe disease in patients hospitalized due to COVID-19: A comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis of 77 studies and 38,000 patients.

Kunchok Dorjee, Hyunju Kim, Elizabeth Bonomo, Rinchen Dolma

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 130 papers, 13 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
130citing papers in PubMed, 13 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

130 citing papers in PubMed, 13 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 218 citations in OpenAlex.

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70 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kunchok DorjeeSchool of Medicine Division of Infectious Diseases, Center for TB Research, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0992-0631
Hyunju KimDepartment of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Elizabeth BonomoSchool of Medicine Division of Infectious Diseases, Center for TB Research, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-7059-6127
Rinchen DolmaCenter for Alcohol and Addiction Studies, Brown University School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, United States of America.
Johns Hopkins University · USBrown University · US

Funding

Tuberculosis Transmission and Preventive Therapy in Tibetan Children and Young Adults in IndiaK01AI148583 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI DORJEE, KUNCHOK · 2020 to 2024
$734k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI148583
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionProgression of COVID-19 to severe disease and death is insufficiently understood.

objectiveSummarize the prevalence of risk factors and adverse outcomes and determine their associations in COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized.

methodsWe searched Medline, Embase and Web of Science for case-series and observational studies of hospitalized COVID-19 patients through August 31, 2020. Data were analyzed by fixed-effects meta-analysis using Shore's adjusted confidence intervals to address heterogeneity.

resultsSeventy-seven studies comprising 38906 hospitalized patients met inclusion criteria; 21468 from the US-Europe and 9740 from China. Overall prevalence of death [% (95% CI)] from COVID-19 was 20% (18-23%); 23% (19-27%) in the US and Europe and 11% (7-16%) for China. Of those that died, 85% were aged≥60 years, 66% were males, and 66%, 44%, 39%, 37%, and 27% had hypertension, smoking history, diabetes, heart disease, and chronic kidney disease (CKD), respectively. The case fatality risk [%(95% CI)] were 52% (46-60) for heart disease, 51% (43-59) for COPD, 48% (37-63) for chronic kidney disease (CKD), 39% for chronic liver disease (CLD), 28% (23-36%) for hypertension, and 24% (17-33%) for diabetes. Summary relative risk (sRR) of death were higher for age≥60 years [sRR = 3.6; 95% CI: 3.0-4.4], males [1.3; 1.2-1.4], smoking history [1.3; 1.1-1.6], COPD [1.7; 1.4-2.0], hypertension [1.8; 1.6-2.0], diabetes [1.5; 1.4-1.7], heart disease [2.1; 1.8-2.4], CKD [2.5; 2.1-3.0]. The prevalence of hypertension (55%), diabetes (33%), smoking history (23%) and heart disease (17%) among the COVID-19 hospitalized patients in the US were substantially higher than that of the general US population, suggesting increased susceptibility to infection or disease progression for the individuals with comorbidities.

conclusionsPublic health screening for COVID-19 can be prioritized based on risk-groups. Appropriately addressing the modifiable risk factors such as smoking, hypertension, and diabetes could reduce morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19; public messaging can be accordingly adapted.

Indexed as

Age FactorsChinaComorbidityCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Diabetes MellitusEuropeFemaleHeart DiseasesHospitalizationHumansHypertensionMalePandemicsPrevalenceRenal Insufficiency, Chronic

Identifiers

PMID33284825
PMCPMC7721151
OpenAlexW3111018862

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.