Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33281343›Full record

ArticleVeterinary world2020

An assessment on potential risk pathways for the incursion of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus in backyard poultry farm in Bangladesh.

Kamrul Islam, Md Murshidul Ahsan, Shovon Chakma, Kinley Penjor, Mukti Barua, Mohammad Shah Jalal, Abdullah Al Momen Sabuj, Zakia Tabassum Ani, Abdul Ahad

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Article in Veterinary world, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kamrul IslamInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Mohakhali-1212, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Md Murshidul AhsanDepartment of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, National University of Singapore, 4 Engineering Drive 4, Singapore 117585.
Shovon ChakmaInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research, Mohakhali-1212, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Kinley PenjorBhutan Agriculture and Food Regulatory Authority, Bhutan.
Mukti BaruaDepartment of Animal Science and Nutrition, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chattogram Veterinary and Animal Sciences University, Chattogram, Bangladesh.
Mohammad Shah JalalDepartment of Microbiology and Veterinary Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chattogram Veterinary and Animal Sciences University, Chattogram, Bangladesh.
Abdullah Al Momen SabujDepartment of Microbiology and Hygiene, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh-2202, Bangladesh.
Zakia Tabassum AniDepartment of Sociology, Faculty of social sciences, University of Chittagong, Bangladesh.
Abdul AhadDepartment of Microbiology and Veterinary Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Chattogram Veterinary and Animal Sciences University, Chattogram, Bangladesh.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimHighly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is a deadly virus of zoonotic potential. The study mainly aims to determine the risk pathways (RPs) for the probable incursion of HPAI virus (HPAIV) in backyard poultry in Bangladesh. MATERIALS AND

methodsThe study involves expert elicitation technique. The concept map determines the possible RPs. The map consists of 16 concepts, each with nodes from which probabilities of an event originates. These probabilities are described by qualitative descriptors ranging from negligible to high. Risk assessment has been performed using the subjective risk assessment tool.

resultsThe tool demonstrates positive correlation among groups of experts in the level of agreement by scoring RP; however, the level of agreement varies from 71% to 93% among group of experts. The median risk score of viral incursion through the "Exposure of backyard poultry with farm poultry in the trading market" was 11 and ranked as top, followed by "Contaminated live bird market environment" and "Sharing common scavenging space with migratory birds" (median risk score, 10.5; rank, 2), and "Scavenging of infected slaughtered poultry remnants by backyard poultry" (median risk score, 5.3; rank, 3) when no control options were applied along with the RPs. After applying or considering control option along with contaminated live bird market environment, the median risk score was reduced to 5.0. Applying a specific control option along with each RP reduced estimated median risk scores for HPAIV incursions.

conclusionThis study provides an insight into the incursion risks of HPAIV through various RPs in backyard poultry in Bangladesh.

Indexed as

control optionshighly pathogenic avian influenzalive bird marketpreventionrisk assessmentrisk pathways

Identifiers

PMID33281343
PMCPMC7704318

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.