ArticleScientific reports2020
Management strategies in a SEIR-type model of COVID 19 community spread.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers.
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Who cites it
78 citing papers in PubMed.
- Infection risk assessment for socially structured population using stochastic microexposure model.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2026Article
- A history-dependent approach for accurate initial condition estimation in epidemic models.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- The interaction between population age structure and policy interventions on the spread of COVID-19.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- A simple yet effective approach for predicting disease spread using mathematically-inspired diffusion-informed neural networks.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Harnessing multi-output machine learning approach and dynamical observables from network structure to optimize COVID-19 intervention strategies.Biology methods & protocols · 2025Article
- Integrating socio-psychological factors in the SEIR model optimized by a genetic algorithm for COVID-19 trend analysis.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- COVID-19 transmission between the community and meat processing plants in Ireland: A retrospective modelling study.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Real-time infectious disease endurance indicator system for scientific decisions using machine learning and rapid data processing.PeerJ. Computer science · 2024Article
- Assessing parameter sensitivity in a university campus COVID-19 model with vaccinations.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- A Multi-SCALE Community Network-Based SEIQR Model to Evaluate the Dynamic NPIs of COVID-19.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Forecasting COVID-19 spreading through an ensemble of classical and machine learning models: Spain's case study.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Study of optimal vaccination strategies for early COVID-19 pandemic using an age-structured mathematical model: A case study of the USA.Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE · 2023Article
- Transportation as a Disease Vector in COVID-19: Border Mobility and Disease Spread.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Real-time estimation and forecasting of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations in Wisconsin HERC regions for public health decision making processes.BMC public health · 2023Article
- A coalitional game-based joint monitoring mechanism for combating COVID-19.Computer communications · 2023Article
- Temporary impact on medical system and effectiveness of mitigation strategies after COVID-19 policy adjustment in China: a modeling study.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- A spatiotemporal machine learning approach to forecasting COVID-19 incidence at the county level in the USA.International journal of data science and analytics · 2023Article
- Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities.PloS one · 2023Article
- Data Assimilation Predictive GAN (DA-PredGAN) Applied to a Spatio-Temporal Compartmental Model in Epidemiology.Journal of scientific computing · 2023Article
- Systematic description of COVID-19 pandemic using exact SIR solutions and Gumbel distributions.Nonlinear dynamics · 2023Article
18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The 2019 Novel Corona virus infection (COVID 19) is an ongoing public health emergency of international focus. Significant gaps persist in our knowledge of COVID 19 epidemiology, transmission dynamics, investigation tools and management, despite (or possibly because of) the fact that the outbreak is an unprecedented global threat. On the positive side, enough is currently known about the epidemic process to permit the construction of mathematical predictive models. In our work, we adapt a traditional SEIR epidemic model to the specific dynamic compartments and epidemic parameters of COVID 19, as it spreads in an age-heterogeneous community. We analyze management strategies of the epidemic course (as they were implemented through lockdown and reopening procedures in many of the US states and countries worldwide); however, to more clearly illustrate ideas, we focus on the example of a small scale college town community, with the timeline of control measures introduced in the state of New York. We generate predictions, and assess the efficiency of these control measures (closures, mobility restrictions, social distancing), in a sustainability context.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.