Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33273676›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Prediction of disease progression and outcomes in multiple sclerosis with machine learning.

Mauro F Pinto, Hugo Oliveira, Sónia Batista, Luís Cruz, Mafalda Pinto, Inês Correia, Pedro Martins, César Teixeira

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Mechanistic Insights into the Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Diagnosis and Management of Multiple Sclerosis.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2026
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  9. Observational
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  11. Review
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  19. Predicting multiple sclerosis severity with multimodal deep neural networks.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Mauro F PintoDepartment of Informatics Engineering, Centre for Informatics and Systems of the University of Coimbra, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal. mauropinto@dei.uc.pt.
Hugo OliveiraDepartment of Informatics Engineering, Centre for Informatics and Systems of the University of Coimbra, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
Sónia BatistaNeurology Department of Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
Luís CruzFunctional Unit of Neuroradiology, Medical Imaging Department, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
Mafalda PintoFunctional Unit of Neuroradiology, Medical Imaging Department, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
Inês CorreiaNeurology Department of Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
Pedro MartinsDepartment of Informatics Engineering, Centre for Informatics and Systems of the University of Coimbra, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
César TeixeiraDepartment of Informatics Engineering, Centre for Informatics and Systems of the University of Coimbra, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple Sclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease, affecting the Central Nervous System and leading to irreversible neurological damage, such as long term functional impairment and disability. It has no cure and the symptoms vary widely, depending on the affected regions, amount of damage, and the ability to activate compensatory mechanisms, which constitutes a challenge to evaluate and predict its course. Additionally, relapsing-remitting patients can evolve its course into a secondary progressive, characterized by a slow progression of disability independent of relapses. With clinical information from Multiple Sclerosis patients, we developed a machine learning exploration framework concerning this disease evolution, more specifically to obtain three predictions: one on conversion to secondary progressive course and two on disease severity with rapid accumulation of disability, concerning the 6th and 10th years of progression. For the first case, the best results were obtained within two years: AUC=[Formula: see text], sensitivity=[Formula: see text] and specificity=[Formula: see text]; and for the second, the best results were obtained for the 6th year of progression, also within two years: AUC=[Formula: see text], sensitivity=[Formula: see text], and specificity=[Formula: see text]. The Expanded Disability Status Scale value, the majority of functional systems, affected functions during relapses, and age at onset were described as the most predictive features. These results demonstrate the possibility of predicting Multiple Sclerosis progression by using machine learning, which may help to understand this disease's dynamics and thus, advise physicians on medication intake.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdultDiagnosis, Computer-AssistedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMultiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting

Identifiers

PMID33273676
PMCPMC7713436

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.