Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33266744›Full record

ArticleEntropy (Basel, Switzerland)2019

On the Impossibility of Learning the Missing Mass.

Elchanan Mossel, Mesrob I Ohannessian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Entropy (Basel, Switzerland), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Entropy and Information Inequalities.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Elchanan MosselDepartment of Mathematics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7812-7886
Mesrob I OhannessianToyota Technological Institute at Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation CCF 1320105National Science Foundation DMS 1106999National Science Foundation DMS-1737944Office of Naval Research N00014-16-1-2227Office of Naval Research t N00014-14-1-0823
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper shows that one cannot learn the probability of rare events without imposing further structural assumptions. The event of interest is that of obtaining an outcome outside the coverage of an i.i.d. sample from a discrete distribution. The probability of this event is referred to as the "missing mass". The impossibility result can then be stated as: the missing mass is not distribution-free learnable in relative error. The proof is semi-constructive and relies on a coupling argument using a dithered geometric distribution. Via a reduction, this impossibility also extends to both discrete and continuous tail estimation. These results formalize the folklore that in order to predict rare events without restrictive modeling, one necessarily needs distributions with "heavy tails".

Indexed as

Good–Turingheavy tailslight tailsmissing massno free lunchrare events

Identifiers

PMID33266744
PMCPMC7514132

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.