ArticlePloS one2020
How long should the COVID-19 lockdown continue?
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modeling the disruptive impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on nurses' supply and wages.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2026Article
- Knowledge, Attitude, And Practices Regarding COVID-19 (Coronavirus) Infection Control and Prevention among Radiology Staff; a Perspective from Largest Private Tertiary Care Hospital in Pakistan.Archives of Razi Institute · 2025Article
- The hammer and the jab: Are COVID-19 lockdowns and vaccinations complements or substitutes?European journal of operational research · 2023Article
- Path integral control of a stochastic multi-risk SIR pandemic model.Theory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften · 2023Article
- Chasing up and locking down the virus: Optimal pandemic interventions within a network.Journal of public economic theory · 2022Article
- Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022Article
- Should the COVID-19 lockdown be relaxed or intensified in case a vaccine becomes available?PloS one · 2022Article
- Dearth of influenza among older adults admitted with respiratory symptoms in Malaysia during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in 2021.Frontiers in medicine · 2022Article
- The gendered dimensions of the anti-mask and anti-lockdown movement on social media.Humanities & social sciences communications · 2022Article
- Article
- The optimal lockdown intensity for COVID-19.Journal of mathematical economics · 2021Article
- Estimation of exogenous drivers to predict COVID-19 pandemic using a method from nonlinear control theory.Nonlinear dynamics · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Nations struggled to decide when and how to end COVID-19 inspired lockdowns, with sharply divergent views between those arguing for a resumption of economic activity and those arguing for continuing the lockdown in some form. We examine the choice between continuing or ending a full lockdown within a simple optimal control model that encompasses both health and economic outcomes, and pays particular attention to when need for care exceeds hospital capacity. The model shows that very different strategies can perform similarly well and even both be optimal for the same relative valuation on work and life because of the presence of a so-called Skiba threshold. Qualitatively the alternate strategies correspond to trying essentially to eradicate the virus or merely to flatten the curve so fewer people urgently need healthcare when hospitals are already filled to capacity.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.