Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33264366›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Early predictive factors of progression from severe type to critical ill type in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019: A retrospective cohort study.

Nan Li, Hao Kong, Xi-Zi Zheng, Xue-Ying Li, Jing Ma, Hong Zhang, Dong-Xin Wang, Hai-Chao Li, Xin-Min Liu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.1field-weighted citation impact, top 41% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nan LiDepartment of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Hao KongDepartment of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Xi-Zi ZhengDepartment of Nephrology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Xue-Ying LiDepartment of Biostatistics, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Jing MaDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Hong ZhangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Dong-Xin WangDepartment of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3205-1836
Hai-Chao LiDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Xin-Min LiuDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Peking University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe current worldwide pandemic of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has posed a serious threat to global public health, and the mortality rate of critical ill patients remains high. The purpose of this study was to identify factors that early predict the progression of COVID-19 from severe to critical illness.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study included adult patients with severe or critical ill COVID-19 who were consecutively admitted to the Zhongfaxincheng campus of Tongji Hospital (Wuhan, China) from February 8 to 18, 2020. Baseline variables, data at hospital admission and during hospital stay, as well as clinical outcomes were collected from electronic medical records system. The primary endpoint was the development of critical illness. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify independent factors that were associated with the progression from severe to critical illness.

resultsA total of 138 patients were included in the analysis; of them 119 were diagnosed as severe cases and 16 as critical ill cases at hospital admission. During hospital stay, 19 more severe cases progressed to critical illness. For all enrolled patients, longer duration from diagnosis to admission (odds ratio [OR] 1.108, 95% CI 1.022-1.202; P = 0.013), pulse oxygen saturation at admission <93% (OR 5.775, 95% CI 1.257-26.535; P = 0.024), higher neutrophil count (OR 1.495, 95% CI 1.177-1.899; P = 0.001) and higher creatine kinase-MB level at admission (OR 2.449, 95% CI 1.089-5.511; P = 0.030) were associated with a higher risk, whereas higher lymphocyte count at admission (OR 0.149, 95% CI 0.026-0.852; P = 0.032) was associated with a lower risk of critical illness development. For the subgroup of severe cases at hospital admission, the above factors except creatine kinase-MB level were also found to have similar correlation with critical illness development.

conclusionsHigher neutrophil count and lower lymphocyte count at admission were early independent predictors of progression to critical illness in severe COVID-19 patients.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessDisease ProgressionCohort StudiesCOVID-19FemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID33264366
PMCPMC7710080
OpenAlexW3107443114

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.