Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33263261›Full record

ArticleMultiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)2021

Accurate classification of secondary progression in multiple sclerosis using a decision tree.

Ryan Ramanujam, Feng Zhu, Katharina Fink, Virginija Danylaitė Karrenbauer, Johannes Lorscheider, Pascal Benkert, Elaine Kingwell, Helen Tremlett, Jan Hillert, Ali Manouchehrinia and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Ryan RamanujamDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/Department of Mathematics, KTH-Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.
Feng ZhuFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), UBC Hospital, and Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Katharina FinkDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/Neuro Theme, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden/Academic Specialist Center, Multiple Sclerosis Centre, Stockholm, Sweden.
Virginija Danylaitė KarrenbauerDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/Neuro Theme, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7166-8951
Johannes LorscheiderNeurologic Clinic and Policlinic, Departments of Medicine and Clinical Research, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Pascal BenkertClinical Trial Unit, Department of Clinical Research, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6525-8174
Elaine KingwellFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), UBC Hospital, and Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Helen TremlettFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), UBC Hospital, and Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5804-2535
Jan HillertDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/Neuro Theme, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ali ManouchehriniaDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/The Karolinska Neuroimmunology & Multiple Sclerosis Centre, Centre for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4857-5762
BeAMS Study group
Karolinska University Hospital · SEUniversity of British Columbia Hospital · CAKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity Hospital of Basel · CHUniversity of Basel · CH

Funding

CIHR MOP-93646
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe absence of reliable imaging or biological markers of phenotype transition in multiple sclerosis (MS) makes assignment of current phenotype status difficult.

objectiveThe authors sought to determine whether clinical information can be used to accurately assign current disease phenotypes.

methodsData from the clinical visits of 14,387 MS patients in Sweden were collected. Classifying algorithms based on several demographic and clinical factors were examined. Results obtained from the best classifier when predicting neurologist recorded disease classification were replicated in an independent cohort from British Columbia and were compared to a previously published algorithm and clinical judgment of three neurologists.

resultsA decision tree (the classifier) containing only most recently available expanded disability scale status score and age obtained 89.3% (95% confidence intervals (CIs): 88.8-89.8) classification accuracy, defined as concordance with the latest reported status. Validation in the independent cohort resulted in 82.0% (95% CI: 81.0-83.1) accuracy. A previously published classification algorithm with slight modifications achieved 77.8% (95% CI: 77.1-78.4) accuracy. With complete patient history of 100 patients, three neurologists obtained 84.3% accuracy compared with 85% for the classifier using the same data.

conclusionThe classifier can be used to standardize definitions of disease phenotype across different cohorts. Clinically, this model could assist neurologists by providing additional information.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisAlgorithmsCohort StudiesDecision TreesDisease ProgressionHumansclassificationdecision treeMultiple sclerosissecondary progressive

Identifiers

PMID33263261
PMCPMC8227440
OpenAlexW3107949646

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.