Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33257862›Full record

ArticleNature biotechnology2021

MPL resolves genetic linkage in fitness inference from complex evolutionary histories.

Muhammad Saqib Sohail, Raymond H Y Louie, Matthew R McKay, John P Barton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature biotechnology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Direct estimation of genotype fitness from time series.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  3. Recurrent mutations drive rapid HIV escape from two broadly neutralizing antibodies in vivo.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
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  13. Inferring fitness seascapes from evolutionary histories.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  14. A binary trait model reveals the fitness effects of HIV-1 escape from T cell responses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Muhammad Saqib Sohail *Department of Electronic and Computer Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.
Raymond H Y Louie *Department of Electronic and Computer Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.
Matthew R McKayDepartment of Electronic and Computer Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China. m.mckay@ust.hk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8086-2545
John P BartonDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, University of California, Riverside, Riverside, CA, USA. john.barton@ucr.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1467-421X

Funding

Methods for quantifying selection in evolving populationsR35GM138233 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BARTON, JOHN P · 2020 to 2024
$1.9M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM138233
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Genetic linkage causes the fate of new mutations in a population to be contingent on the genetic background on which they appear. This makes it challenging to identify how individual mutations affect fitness. To overcome this challenge, we developed marginal path likelihood (MPL), a method to infer selection from evolutionary histories that resolves genetic linkage. Validation on real and simulated data sets shows that MPL is fast and accurate, outperforming existing inference approaches. We found that resolving linkage is crucial for accurately quantifying selection in complex evolving populations, which we demonstrate through a quantitative analysis of intrahost HIV-1 evolution using multiple patient data sets. Linkage effects generated by variants that sweep rapidly through the population are particularly strong, extending far across the genome. Taken together, our results argue for the importance of resolving linkage in studies of natural selection.

Indexed as

MutationAlgorithmsComputational BiologyEvolution, MolecularGenetic LinkageHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansLikelihood FunctionsModels, GeneticReceptors, ThrombopoietinSelection, GeneticMPL protein, humanReceptors, Thrombopoietin

Identifiers

PMID33257862
PMCPMC8044047

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.