Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33253635›Full record

ArticleBiophysical journal2021

Persistence as an Optimal Hedging Strategy.

Alexander P Browning, Jesse A Sharp, Tarunendu Mapder, Christopher M Baker, Kevin Burrage, Matthew J Simpson

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biophysical journal, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Non-ergodicity in ecology and evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  4. Threshold-awareness in adaptive cancer therapy.PLoS computational biology · 2024
    Article
  5. Understanding cellular growth strategies via optimal control.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Alexander P BrowningSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia. Electronic address: ap.browning@qut.edu.au.
Jesse A SharpSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia.
Tarunendu MapderSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Department of Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana.
Christopher M BakerSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Kevin BurrageSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Matthew J SimpsonSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia.
Queensland University of Technology · AUIndiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis · USUniversity of Melbourne · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bacteria invest in a slow-growing subpopulation, called persisters, to ensure survival in the face of uncertainty. This hedging strategy is remarkably similar to financial hedging, where diversifying an investment portfolio protects against economic uncertainty. We provide a new, to our knowledge, theoretical foundation for understanding cellular hedging by unifying the study of biological population dynamics and the mathematics of financial risk management through optimal control theory. Motivated by the widely accepted role of volatility in the emergence of persistence, we consider several models of environmental volatility described by continuous-time stochastic processes. This allows us to study an emergent cellular hedging strategy that maximizes the expected per capita growth rate of the population. Analytical and simulation results probe the optimal persister strategy, revealing results that are consistent with experimental observations and suggest new opportunities for experimental investigation and design. Overall, we provide a new, to our knowledge, way of conceptualizing and modeling cellular decision making in volatile environments by explicitly unifying theory from mathematical biology and finance.

Indexed as

BacteriaBiological EvolutionComputer SimulationPopulation DynamicsStochastic Processes

Identifiers

PMID33253635
PMCPMC7820789
OpenAlexW3110270690

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.