Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33250530›Full record

ArticleSocio-economic planning sciences2022

Novel spatiotemporal feature extraction parallel deep neural network for forecasting confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019.

Chiou-Jye Huang, Yamin Shen, Ping-Huan Kuo, Yung-Hsiang Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Socio-economic planning sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Deep Spatiotemporal Model for COVID-19 Forecasting.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. EVDHM-ARIMA-Based Time Series Forecasting Model and Its Application for COVID-19 Cases.IEEE transactions on instrumentation and measurement · 2021
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Chiou-Jye HuangSchool of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou, Jiangxi, 341000, China.
Yamin ShenSchool of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou, Jiangxi, 341000, China.
Ping-Huan KuoDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, No.168, Sec. 1, University Rd., Minhsiung, Chiayi, 62102, Taiwan.
Yung-Hsiang ChenDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, National Pingtung University of Science and Technology, Pingtung, 912301, Taiwan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic continues as of March 26 and spread to Europe on approximately February 24. A report from April 29 revealed 1.26 million confirmed cases and 125 928 deaths in Europe. To refer government and enterprise to arrange countermeasures. The paper proposes a novel deep neural network framework to forecast the COVID-19 outbreak. The COVID-19Net framework combined 1D convolutional neural network, 2D convolutional neural network, and bidirectional gated recurrent units. COVID-19Net can well integrate the characteristics of time, space, and influencing factors of the COVID-19 accumulative cases. Three European countries with severe outbreaks were studied-Germany, Italy, and Spain-to extract spatiotemporal features and predict the number of confirmed cases. The prediction results acquired from COVID-19Net are compared to those obtained using a CNN, GRU, and CNN-GRU. The mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error, and root mean square error, which is commonly used model assessment indices, were used to compare the accuracy of the models. The results verified that COVID-19Net was notably more accurate than the other models. The mean absolute percentage error generated by COVID-19Net was 1.447 for Germany, 1.801 for Italy, and 2.828 for Spain, which was considerably better than those of the other models. This indicated that the proposed framework could accurately predict the accumulated number of confirmed cases in the three countries and serve as an essential reference for devising public health strategies. And also indicated that COVID-19 has high spatiotemporal relations, it suggests us to keep a social distance and avoid unnecessary trips.

Indexed as

Confirmed cases forecastingCOVID-19NetParallel deep neural network

Identifiers

PMID33250530
PMCPMC7687416

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.